|

EUR/JPY Price Analysis: Reclaims 140.00, after tumbling to new monthly lows below 139.00

  • EUR/JPY reached a fresh monthly low at around 138.70, though it trimmed some losses.
  • Sellers in the EUR/JPY daily and 4-hour chart are gathering momentum, as shown by the RSI.
  • EUR/JPY Price Analysis: in the 4-hour chart, a break below 140.00 could pave the way toward 138.00.

The EUR/JPY dropped to fresh monthly lows at around 138.70, though a confluence of moving averages (MAs), namely the 50 and 100-day EMA meandering around the 139.16/19 area, were difficult hurdles to surpass, while bulls moving in helped to re-conquer the 140.00 psychological level. As the Asian Pacific session begins, the EUR/JPY is trading at 140.13, up by 0.11%.

EUR/JPY Price Analysis: Technical outlook

On Thursday, the cross-currency pair seesawed in a 500 pip range as the Bank of Japan (BoJ) intervention in the USD/JPY sent most yen crosses nosediving sharply. Even though the EUR/JPY remains above the 50 and 100-day EMAs, oscillators, particularly the Relative Strength Index (RSI), fell to negative territory, suggesting that sellers are gathering momentum.

The GBP/JPY four-hour chart shows the 20-EM crossing under the 50 and 100-EMAs, keeping the downward bias intact, though failure to record a daily close below the 200-EMA, staying above 139.98, opened the door towards 140.00. Albeit the EUR/JPY is trading above 140.00, risks are skewed to the downside, as the RSI persists in negative territory, alongside buyers needing to step in and lift prices above the 141.00  price level.

Therefore, the EUR/JPY first support would be the 140.00 figure. Once cleared, the next support would be the 200-EMA at 139.70, followed by the 139.00 psychological level, ahead of the S1 pivot at 138.00. On the flip side, the EUR/JPY first resistance would be the daily pivot at 140.81. The break above will immediately expose the 141.00 figure, which, if cleared, could pave the way toward 142.00.

EUR/JPY Key Technical Levels

EUR/JPY

Overview
Today last price140.24
Today Daily Change-1.51
Today Daily Change %-1.07
Today daily open141.75
 
Trends
Daily SMA20141.44
Daily SMA50139.2
Daily SMA100139.15
Daily SMA200135.49
 
Levels
Previous Daily High143.6
Previous Daily Low141.64
Previous Weekly High145.64
Previous Weekly Low142.3
Previous Monthly High139.73
Previous Monthly Low133.4
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%142.39
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%142.85
Daily Pivot Point S1141.06
Daily Pivot Point S2140.37
Daily Pivot Point S3139.1
Daily Pivot Point R1143.02
Daily Pivot Point R2144.29
Daily Pivot Point R3144.98

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD stays weak above 0.6900 after China’s trade data

AUD/USD struggles to capitalize on the previous day’s recovery and stays defensive on the 0.6900 level following the narrowing of trade surplus in China. Increased December Fed rate hike bets allows the US Dollar to pause its decline and weigh on the pair. US CPI data is next of note for the major.

USD/JPY retakes 158.00 on weak Japanese data; focus shifts to US CPI

USD/JPY attracts some dip-buyers and retakes 158.00 in the Asian session on Tuesday as a fall in Japan’s Household Spending offsets hawkish BoJ Summary of Opinions, undermining the Japanese Yen. Moreover, Fed hike bets support the safe-haven US Dollar and the currency pair. The market focus now shifts to the release of the crucial US CPI report.

Gold sticks to modest losses amid Fed hike bets; holds above $4,100 ahead of US CPI

Gold meets fresh supply, eroding a part of the previous day's strong gains to the $4,150 resistance zone, albeit it holds above the $4,100 mark heading into the European session. Firming US Federal Reserve rate-hike expectations turn out to be a key factor driving flows away from the non-yielding bullion. Meanwhile, the US Dollar struggles to lure buyers amid mixed signals regarding the state of diplomatic talks between the US and Iran, offering some support to the commodity as traders seem hesitant ahead of US consumer inflation figures.

Bitcoin hits lowest weekly close since August as short-term holders slip into losses

Bitcoin fell below $75,000 on Tuesday, after recording its lowest weekly close since August as selling pressure pushed recent buyers into losses.

This weeks’ two big inflation reports will offer perspective

Payrolls on Friday surprised with a big gain, 165,000 new jobs rather than the 65,000 forecast. Also the unemployment rate fell from 4.2% to 4.1% although average hourly earnings are up only 0.4% ($32.75). This weeks’ two big inflation reports will offer perspective. Tomorrow it’s CPI and on Friday, which is a Friday the 13th, it’s PPI.

Gold reclaimed $4,100. Tuesday’s CPI test decides if it holds
Gold (XAU/USD) starts the week on a positive note, reclaiming the $4,100 psychological level as the US Dollar (USD) retreats from its recent highs. The precious metal recovers from Friday's losses, although investors remain cautious ahead of Tuesday's US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report, which could determine the next direction for Bullion.