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EUR/JPY Price Analysis: A bearish harami in the daily chart could pave the way towards 142.00

  • EUR/JPY sellers stepped in around 144.00, sending the pair sliding below 143.00.
  • A bearish harami candle pattern in the daily chart suggests the EUR/JPY might be headed to the downside.
  • Short term, the EUR/JPY hourly chart portrays the 20-EMA crossing under the 50-EMA, opening the door for a resumption of the downtrend.

The EUR/JPY retreats from weekly highs, as traders dump riskier assets, as market participants assess that a Fed “dovish” pivot might not happen, as Fed policymakers reiterated that further rate hikes are coming. At the time of writing, the EUR/JPY is trading at 142.88, below its opening price as the Asian session begins.

EUR/JPY Price Analysis: Technical outlook

The EUR/JPY rally stalled around 144.00 as Wednesday’s price action opened near Tuesday’s close and hit a daily low at 142.44 before closing at 142.98. Traders should be aware that a bearish-harami candle chart pattern emerged, as shown by the EUR/JPY daily chart. Therefore, if the EUR/JPY breaks decisively, October’s 5 low of 142.44 could pave the way for further losses.

The EUR/JPY’s first support would be the 20-day EMA at 142.11, which, once cleared, will expose the 142.00 mark.

In the one-hour scale, the EUR/JPY depicted a double top chart pattern, fulfilled through Wednesday’s session, falling towards the October 3 high at 142.46 before bouncing off toward the current exchange rate. Nevertheless, the 20-EMA is about to cross under the 50-EMA around 143.18, which coupled with the RSI’s aiming lower in bearish territory, could open the door for a resumption of the downtrend.

Therefore, the EUR/JPY first support would be the confluence of October’s 3 low and the 100-EMA at 132.44/48. The break below will expose the S1 daily pivot at 142.26, followed by the S2 pivot point at 141.50, ahead of the 200-EMA at 140.88.

EUR/JPY Key Technical Levels

EUR/JPY

Overview
Today last price142.92
Today Daily Change-1.03
Today Daily Change %-0.72
Today daily open143.95
 
Trends
Daily SMA20142.25
Daily SMA50139.37
Daily SMA100139.57
Daily SMA200136.01
 
Levels
Previous Daily High144.08
Previous Daily Low141.99
Previous Weekly High142.29
Previous Weekly Low137.38
Previous Monthly High145.64
Previous Monthly Low137.38
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%143.28
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%142.79
Daily Pivot Point S1142.6
Daily Pivot Point S2141.25
Daily Pivot Point S3140.51
Daily Pivot Point R1144.69
Daily Pivot Point R2145.43
Daily Pivot Point R3146.78

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

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