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EUR/GBP Price Analysis: Continues falling, though at a slower pace as sellers attack 0.8300

  • The EUR/GBP pares some of its monthly gains, courtesy of risk-off market mood and technical barriers.
  • The 100-DMA capped EUR/GPB rally, followed by a consolidation of three days.
  • A daily close below 0.8358 would keep the EUR/GBP sellers in control as they prepare for an attack of 0.8300.

The shared currency losses ground for the third consecutive day against the British pound amid a risk-off market mood spurred by Russia/Ukraine conflict. That said, at press time, the EUR/GBP is trading at 0.8354.

The EUR/GBP price action on the last three days witnessed a fall in line with the overall trend of the daily moving averages (DMAs), lying above the spot price. However, when the BoE and the ECB revealed their monetary policy decisions, the pair rallied almost 200-pips, towards 0.8477, which pierced the 100-day moving average (DMA), retreating three days afterward.

EUR/GBP Price Forecast: Technical outlook

The EUR/GBP remains tilted to the downside. Last Friday’s price action triggered a leg-down as bears reclaimed the 50-DMA at 0.8413, which exacerbated a downward move beyond the 0.8400 figure, reaching a daily low at 0.8358.

During the overnight session for North American traders, the EUR/GBP bulls attacked February’s 11 daily low and printed a daily high at the daily pivot point at 0.8385, followed by a drop below 0.8358, where the EUR/GBP comfortably trades as the New York session end looms.

The EUR/GBP first support level would be 0.8345. Breach of the latter would expose January 31 low at 0.8304. Once that level is cleared, it would expose the YTD low at 0.8283 and then a probe of 0.8200.

EUR/GBP

Overview
Today last price0.8354
Today Daily Change-0.0016
Today Daily Change %-0.19
Today daily open0.837
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.8374
Daily SMA500.8414
Daily SMA1000.8451
Daily SMA2000.851
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.8434
Previous Daily Low0.836
Previous Weekly High0.8478
Previous Weekly Low0.836
Previous Monthly High0.8423
Previous Monthly Low0.8305
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.8388
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.8406
Daily Pivot Point S10.8341
Daily Pivot Point S20.8313
Daily Pivot Point S30.8266
Daily Pivot Point R10.8416
Daily Pivot Point R20.8463
Daily Pivot Point R30.8491

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

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