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British Pound weakens below 215.00 vs JPY on softer UK inflation data, intervention fears

  • GBP/JPY drifts lower on Wednesday as cooler-than-expected UK CPI weighs heavily on the GBP.
  • Intervention fears prompt some JPY short-covering and contribute to the intraday offered tone.
  • The divergent BoJ-BoE outlooks favor bears, though the UK-Japan rate differential warrants caution.

The GBP/JPY cross attracts heavy selling following the release of UK consumer inflation figures on Wednesday and, for now, seems to have snapped a three-day winning streak. Spot prices slide back below the 215.00 psychological mark during the early European session, though the fundamental backdrop warrants some caution for bearish traders.

The British Pound (GBP) weakens across the board after the UK Office for National Statistics (ONS) reported that the headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) climbed 2.8% over the year in May, unchanged from the previous month's reading. Meanwhile, the core gauge, excluding volatile food and energy items, rose 2.6% YoY during the reported month, compared to 2.5% in April. The readings, however, fell short of consensus estimates and endorsed the view that the Bank of England (BoE) will hold interest rates steady, prompting some selling around the GBP and weighing on the GBP/JPY cross.

The Japanese Yen (JPY), on the other hand, benefits from speculations that authorities will step in again to prop up the domestic currency. Adding to this, the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) rate hike on Tuesday, to the highest level since 1995, and plans to gradually reduce its government bond purchases underpin the JPY, contributing to the offered tone surrounding the GBP/JPY cross. That said, Japan's borrowing costs remain lower than those of peer nations, including the UK. This keeps the carry trade active, which might hold back the JPY bulls from placing aggressive bets and capping gains for the GBP/JPY cross.

The market focus now shifts to the monthly UK jobs report and the BoE policy meeting, which should provide some meaningful impetus to the GBP on Thursday. In the meantime, the aforementioned fundamental backdrop makes it prudent to wait for strong follow-through selling in order to confirm that spot prices have topped out in the near-term. Meanwhile, bullish traders might need to wait for sustained strength beyond the 215.50 horizontal resistance before positioning for an extension of the recent uptrend witnessed over the past month or so.

Pound Sterling Price Today

The table below shows the percentage change of British Pound (GBP) against listed major currencies today. British Pound was the strongest against the New Zealand Dollar.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD-0.03%0.07%-0.13%0.08%0.12%0.20%-0.26%
EUR0.03%0.10%-0.07%0.09%0.13%0.25%-0.23%
GBP-0.07%-0.10%-0.19%0.01%0.07%0.16%-0.28%
JPY0.13%0.07%0.19%0.18%0.24%0.28%-0.10%
CAD-0.08%-0.09%-0.01%-0.18%0.05%0.13%-0.29%
AUD-0.12%-0.13%-0.07%-0.24%-0.05%0.10%-0.33%
NZD-0.20%-0.25%-0.16%-0.28%-0.13%-0.10%-0.43%
CHF0.26%0.23%0.28%0.10%0.29%0.33%0.43%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the British Pound from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent GBP (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

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