|

Australian Dollar gains after hawkish RBA hold as focus shifts to Federal Reserve

  • AUD/USD rebounds from intraday lows after the Reserve Bank of Australia's hawkish hold.
  • The RBA says it remains prepared to raise rates further if needed to return inflation to target.
  • The US Dollar stays supported ahead of the Federal Reserve's policy decision on Wednesday.

The Australian Dollar (AUD) strengthens against the US Dollar (USD) on Tuesday after the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) delivered a hawkish hold at its June policy meeting. At the time of writing, AUD/USD trades around 0.7070 after bouncing from an intraday low of 0.7042.

The RBA kept its cash rate unchanged at 4.35% following three consecutive rate hikes earlier this year. The central bank said "uncertainties remain elevated over the outlook for domestic economic activity and inflation" and added that it "will take necessary steps to meet the inflation target, including raising the cash rate further if needed."

Traders also digested mixed economic data from China. Industrial Production rose 4.5% YoY in May, above market expectations of 4.3%, while Retail Sales fell 0.6% YoY, missing forecasts for a flat reading. The AUD is often viewed as a proxy for the Chinese economy because China is Australia's largest export market.

However, AUD/USD is struggling to extend its gains as the US Dollar holds broadly steady ahead of the Federal Reserve's (Fed) monetary policy announcement on Wednesday. The Fed is widely expected to leave interest rates unchanged in the 3.50%-3.75% range for a fourth consecutive meeting.

While Oil prices have eased in recent days after the United States and Iran reached a framework agreement aimed at ending the war in the Middle East. The earlier surge in energy costs has already pushed US inflation higher, with the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rising to 4.2% YoY in May, its highest level since April 2023.

FXStreet's SpeechTracker average scores show that six of the eleven voting FOMC members are clearly hawkish, with most of the remaining members also leaning hawkish. The analysis does not include newly appointed Fed Chair Kevin Warsh.

US Dollar Price Today

The table below shows the percentage change of US Dollar (USD) against listed major currencies today. US Dollar was the strongest against the Canadian Dollar.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD-0.08%-0.03%0.03%0.04%0.00%-0.20%-0.11%
EUR0.08%0.06%0.17%0.13%0.07%-0.12%-0.03%
GBP0.03%-0.06%0.09%0.08%0.01%-0.17%-0.08%
JPY-0.03%-0.17%-0.09%-0.01%-0.07%-0.24%-0.14%
CAD-0.04%-0.13%-0.08%0.01%-0.05%-0.25%-0.16%
AUD-0.00%-0.07%-0.01%0.07%0.05%-0.18%-0.09%
NZD0.20%0.12%0.17%0.24%0.25%0.18%0.09%
CHF0.11%0.03%0.08%0.14%0.16%0.09%-0.09%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the US Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the Japanese Yen, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent USD (base)/JPY (quote).

Author

Vishal Chaturvedi

I am a macro-focused research analyst with over four years of experience covering forex and commodities market. I enjoy breaking down complex economic trends and turning them into clear, actionable insights that help traders stay ahead of the curve.

More from Vishal Chaturvedi
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD stays defensive below 0.7150 after Chinese data

AUD/USD remains on the back foot below 0.7150 in the Asian session on Tuesday, close to an over three-week low touched the previous day. US bond yields hold near multi-year highs ahead of the FOMC meeting and oil-driven inflation risks, supporting the US Dollar and weighing on the currency pair. Mixed Chinese activity data for August also fail to inspire the Aussie.

USD/JPY sticks to gains near mid-154.00s as traders await Fed/BoJ meetings

USD/JPY attracts some buyers for the second straight day on Tuesday, though it remains below a one-week high touched the previous day as traders await the FOMC and BoJ meetings this week. Meanwhile, Fed rate-hike bets and oil-driven inflation risks keep US bond yields near multi-year highs, supporting the US Dollar and the currency pair. That said, a more hawkish repricing of the BoJ normalization path might continue to underpin the Japanese Yen and cap spot prices.

Gold seems vulnerable below $4,300 as traders await FOMC meeting

Gold struggles below $4,300 during the Asian session on Tuesday and remains vulnerable near a one-month low, touched the previous day. Fed rate-hike expectations and inflation concerns remain supportive of elevated US bond yields, underpinning the US Dollar and weighing on the non-yielding bullion. Bears, however, might wait for the outcome of a two-day FOMC meeting on Wednesday before placing fresh bets.

WTI rises above $98.50 amid Middle East supply fears

West Texas Intermediate oil price extends its gains for the second successive day, trading around $98.60 per barrel during the Asian hours on Tuesday. Crude oil prices appreciate as traders continue to navigate heightened uncertainty over global supply.

Hard assets are entering their next explosive phase – Are you positioned?
It’s official: Commodities and Hard Assets have become the best-performing asset class of 2026. In a year defined by persistent inflation, geopolitical conflict, rising sovereign debt and intensifying supply disruption, capital is rotating aggressively into the one area governments cannot print and central banks cannot manufacture: scarce physical assets.
Venezuela’s 65-billion-barrel Oil deal could reshape America’s inflation fight
The United States (US) has secured unprecedented access to part of Venezuela’s vast Oil reserves. The timing is particularly significant as the war with Iran is disrupting Middle Eastern supplies, keeping energy prices elevated and reviving concerns about inflation.