AUD/USD Price Analysis: Trades mixed below 0.7200 ahead of Aussie GDP, rising wedge eyed


  • AUD/USD consolidates pullback from three-week high, sidelined of late.
  • Australia’s Q1 2022 GDP is estimated to have softened by 0.7% QoQ.
  • Bearish chart pattern, RSI retreat keeps sellers hopeful.
  • 200-SMA adds to the downside filters, recovery moves have multiple hurdle to tackle.

AUD/USD picks up bids to 0.7178 as bears lick their wounds after the quote’s U-turn from a three-week high. In doing so, the Aussie pair consolidates the first daily loss in four ahead of the key Australia Q1 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) release during Wednesday’s Asian session.

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The AUD/USD pair’s pullback the previous day portrays a rising wedge bearish chart pattern on the four-hour play. The downside bias also gains support from the RSI (14) retreat.

However, the 200-SMA offers an additional barrier to the south around 0.7120, in addition to the stated wedge’s support line near 0.7135.

Should the quote drops below 0.7120, theory backs bears to expect a fresh yearly high under the previous month’s trough of 0.6828. During the fall, the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement (Fibo.) of April-May fall, around 0.7030, as well as the 0.7000 psychological magnet may offer intermediate halts.

On the flip side, recovery moves need to reject the wedge formation, by crossing the 0.7220 immediate hurdle, to convince short-term buyers.

Even so, the 50% Fibo. level and the previous monthly high, respectively around 0.7245 and 0.7270, can challenge the upside momentum past-0.7220.

Overall, AUD/USD teases bears ahead of the key Aussie data but the downtrend requires strong disappointment from scheduled data and has multiple challenges.

AUD/USD: Four-hour chart

Trend: Grinds lower

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price 0.7177
Today Daily Change -0.0019
Today Daily Change % -0.26%
Today daily open 0.7196
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 0.7049
Daily SMA50 0.7252
Daily SMA100 0.7232
Daily SMA200 0.7259
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 0.7201
Previous Daily Low 0.7166
Previous Weekly High 0.7167
Previous Weekly Low 0.7034
Previous Monthly High 0.7662
Previous Monthly Low 0.7054
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.7188
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.718
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.7175
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.7153
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.714
Daily Pivot Point R1 0.7209
Daily Pivot Point R2 0.7222
Daily Pivot Point R3 0.7244

 

 

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