|

AUD: Strong credit growth but policy view unchanged – BNY

BNY’s Head of Markets Macro Strategy Bob Savage notes Australia’s January financial aggregates show total credit up 0.5% month-on-month and 7.7% year-on-year, with housing and business credit both accelerating on an annual basis. Broad money growth has also picked up. However, he argues these figures are unlikely to alter the Reserve Bank of Australia’s current policy stance, leaving AUD/USD modestly firmer.

Credit expansion not shifting RBA stance

"Australia’s financial aggregates in January showed total credit rising 0.5% m/m, easing from 0.8% in December, while the y/y rate accelerated to 7.7% from 6.5% in January last year."

"Housing credit increased by 0.6% m/m and 7.0% y/y, compared with 0.7% m/m and 5.6% y/y previously."

"Business credit grew 0.5% m/m, down from 1.0%, with annual growth strengthening to 9.4% from 8.9%."

"Broad money expanded 0.6% m/m, up from 0.5%, and rose 7.4% y/y, compared with 5.2% a year earlier."

"The figures are unlikely to change the current RBA view on policy."

(This article was created with the help of an Artificial Intelligence tool and reviewed by an editor.)

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

British Pound eases to 1.3450 area following downwardly revised Manufacturing PMI data

The British Pound is trimming previous gains against the US Dollar on Monday, returning to the mid-range of the 1.3400s down from fresh seven-week highs, above 1.3500 earlier on the day. Weaker-than-expected UK manufacturing data added pressure on the Pound, which rallied at the Asian session opening, amid news of a halt to the hostilities in Iran.

EUR/USD remains under pressure; looks at 1.1500 on firm US ISM

EUR/USD now accelerates its downtrend and trades in the low 1.1500s on the back of the marginal improvement in the US Dollar, all in the wake of solid US ISM Manufacturing data on Wednesday. The Greenback, in the meantime, remains far from a sustainable rebound in the current context of cooling geopolitical tensions.

Gold remains supported near $4,000

Gold adds to Friday’s pullback, although it remains well underpinned by the key $4,000 threshold per troy ounce on Monday. The US Dollar’s inconclusive price action seems enough to cap the yellow metal’s potential upside, although renewed hopes for a US-Iran peace deal and fading expectations of a Fed rate hike could limit the Greenback’s recovery.

Week ahead: US payrolls report and AI earnings to keep investors on edge

After the Fed decision, NFP report awaited for more rate hike clues. Employment also on the agenda in Canada and New Zealand. Chinese trade and Japanese wage data to be watched too. But Iran and AI headlines to remain in driver’s seat for risk sentiment.

Solana risks a steeper decline below $70 despite steady ETF inflows

Solana (SOL) is trading in the red, losing bullish momentum and remaining capped below its 50-day Exponential Moving Average at $75.68. SOL-focused Exchange Traded Funds show resilience with a monthly inflow of $14.62 million in July, while the near-term retail support wanes with the funding rate turning negative.

9-3: Is the Federal Reserve’s vote tally Warsh's new forward guidance?
The rate did not move. Neither did the statement, and that’s the more interesting fact. Set the July 29 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement beside the one issued on June 17, and the two documents are identical apart from a single verb and a paragraph at the bottom naming three dissenters.