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AUD/JPY Price Analysis: Drops beneath 92.00, as bears eye the 200-DMA

  • The AUD/JPY drops below the 100-day EMA and the 92.00 psychological figure.
  • AUD/JPY Price Analysis: Hits a new weekly low at 91.67, about to test the 200-DMA.

Due to a risk-off impulse, the AUD/JPY slides below the 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), eyeing the intersection of the 200 and 50-day EMA at around 91.55/60. However, as the Asian session begins, the AUD/JPY is trading at 91.84, registering minuscule gains of 0.08%.

The AUD/JPY peaked during the week at around 93.01 on Tuesday and has enjoyed a downtrend of two straight days since then. The AUD/JPY failure to break above the last week’s high of 93.03 exacerbated a downfall of 120 pips or 1.30%. Oscillators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is neutral, while the Rate of Change (RoC) suggests that sellers are gaining momentum. Therefore, in the near term, the AUD/JPY might print a leg-down.

The AUD/JPY first support would be the 20-day EMA at 91.75. A breach of the latter will expose the confluence of the 200 and 50-day EMA at around 91.55/60, that once cleared, would pave the way toward 91.00. The sellers’ next stop would be the February 10 daily low of 90.22.

As an alternate scenario, the AUD/JPY first resistance would be the 92.00 figure. Once broken, the AUD/JPY will threaten the February 22 daily high at 92.68, followed by 93.00.

AUD/JPY Daily chart

AUD/JPY Key technical levels

AUD/JPY

Overview
Today last price91.88
Today Daily Change-0.62
Today Daily Change %-0.67
Today daily open92.5
 
Trends
Daily SMA2091.9
Daily SMA5090.85
Daily SMA10092.15
Daily SMA20093.08
 
Levels
Previous Daily High93.01
Previous Daily Low92.37
Previous Weekly High93.06
Previous Weekly Low90.8
Previous Monthly High92.82
Previous Monthly Low87.41
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%92.61
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%92.77
Daily Pivot Point S192.24
Daily Pivot Point S291.98
Daily Pivot Point S391.6
Daily Pivot Point R192.88
Daily Pivot Point R293.27
Daily Pivot Point R393.52

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

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