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AUD/JPY Price Analysis: Bulls reclaim 82.00 though face strong resistance ahead

  • The Australian dollar advances vs. the Japanese yen in a risk-off market mood.
  • AUD/JPY is neutral biased, but a daily close above the 50-DMA would exert upward pressure on the pair.

The AUD/JPY climbs during the day as the North American session ends, despite a risk-off market mood, which usually favors the safe-haven status of the Japanese yen. At the time of writing, the AUD/JPY is trading at 82.00.

US equity indices finished mixed, led by losses of the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite, down 0.37% and 0.84%, respectively. Meanwhile, the Dow Jones finished flat.

AUD/JPY Price Forecast: Technical outlook

On Monday’s overnight session, the AUD/JPY began the week on the right foot, advancing from daily lows up to daily highs. AUD/JPY price action in the last two days suggests indecision. However, a daily close above the 50-day moving average (DMA) could spur a jump towards the confluence of the 100 and the 200-DMA lying in the 82.40-50 range, respectively.

That said, a breach of the abovementioned confluence would expose AUD/JPY’s January 20 high at 82.97, which, once broken, will challenge a five-month-old downslope trendline around the 83.40-60 range.

On the flip side, AUD/JPY’s first support would be a February 4 daily low at 81.29, stalling downward moves for four straight days. A downward break of it could pave the way for further losses. The next support would be January 24 swing low at 80.69, followed by January 28 low at 80.36.

AUD/JPY

Overview
Today last price82.00
Today Daily Change0.49
Today Daily Change %0.60
Today daily open81.5
 
Trends
Daily SMA2082.03
Daily SMA5081.93
Daily SMA10082.48
Daily SMA20082.47
 
Levels
Previous Daily High82.22
Previous Daily Low81.3
Previous Weekly High82.29
Previous Weekly Low80.55
Previous Monthly High84.3
Previous Monthly Low80.37
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%81.65
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%81.87
Daily Pivot Point S181.12
Daily Pivot Point S280.75
Daily Pivot Point S380.2
Daily Pivot Point R182.05
Daily Pivot Point R282.6
Daily Pivot Point R382.97

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

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