USD/JPY price forecast: US Dollar/Japanese Yen faces rejection at 0.236 arc

Mohamad Gharib Independent Analyst

US Dollar/Japanese Yen (USD/JPY): Arc cycle analysis

Overview: Based on Arc Cycle Analysis applied to the 30m chart, U.S. Dollar/Japanese Yen is interacting with the 0.236 Resistance Arc within the current Arc Cycle. Bullish momentum has faded near this boundary, indicating that the upper Arc continues to cap upside expansion.

Metric	Reading
Market Bias	Neutral-Bearish
Preferred Scenario	Two-Way Navigation Within the Current Arc Range
Target Arc	0.382 Arc
Potential Interim Move	A move toward the upper Arc may occur before bearish continuation.
Current Arc Level	In Transit Between Arcs (0.236 Arc to 0.382 Arc)
Cycle Status	Mid-Cycle Migration Phase

Market outlook

The 0.236 Arc continues to act as a resistance boundary, capping upside expansion. Bullish attempts have stalled beneath the Resistance Arc, indicating that the resistance remains intact.

If the Resistance Arc holds firm, a decline toward 0.382 Arc becomes the primary scenario. Conversely, a sustained 30m close above 159.80 would invalidate the bearish scenario, opening the path toward the upper Resistance Arc.

Author

Mohamad Gharib

Independent Analyst

Mohamad Gharib is a Financial Markets Analyst and Quantitative Researcher with more than 18 years of experience in financial markets, including 15 years as an FX Quant Trader.

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