|

EUR/USD finds relief, but gains may be narrow

Key highlights

  • EUR/USD extended losses and tested the 1.1420 support.
  • A few hurdles are forming near 1.1500 and 1.1525 on the 4-hour chart.

EUR/USD technical analysis

Looking at the 4-hour chart, the pair settled below 1.1500, the 100 simple moving average (red, 4-hour), and the 200 simple moving average (green, 4-hour). A low was formed at 1.1471, and the pair started a minor recovery wave.

The pair surpassed the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.1622 swing high to the 1.1417 low. If the pair continues to recover, it could face resistance near the 1.1500 handle.

eurusd

The next major resistance could be 1.1525 or the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.1622 swing high to the 1.1417 low. A close above 1.1525 could open the doors for a larger increase. In the stated case, EUR/USD might aim for a test of 1.1580.

If there is a fresh decline, the pair might find support near 1.1420. The first major support could be near 1.1400. A downside break and close below 1.1400 might spark bearish moves. The main support could be near 1.1365, below which the bears could aim for a test of 1.1250.

Author

Aayush Jindal

I have spent over six years as a financial markets contributor and observer, and possess strong technical analytical skills. I am a software engineer by profession, loves blogging and observing financial markets.

More from Aayush Jindal
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD clings to multi-day peaks below 1.3500

GBP/USD trades with marked gains on Friday, now giving away some gains following an earlier surpass of the key 1.3500 yardstick. Indeed, Cable gathers fresh steam amid the strong offered stance in the Greenback, all after US NFP badly missed expectations in July.

EUR/USD: Post-NFP bounce falters around 1.1580

EUR/USD reverses Thursday’s decline and trades with solid gains in the 1.1560 region, or two-month peaks, on Friday. The pair’s firm performance comes in a context of a sharp correction in the US Dollar as investors continue to assess disheartening US NFP readings.

Gold trades below $4,350; remains close to seven-week high

Gold is seen consolidating Friday's post-NFP rally and trading just below $4,350 at the start of a new week, close to its highest level since June 17. Meanwhile, weak US jobs data tempered Fed rate hike bets, which keeps the US Dollar on the defensive and acts as a tailwind for the non-yielding bullion. Meanwhile, the focus now shifts to this week's US inflation figures as traders await developments surrounding the Middle East crisis.

Week ahead: US CPI data, BoJ summary and RBA decision take the stage

US inflation data to guide Fed rate hike expectations. A hawkish BoJ summary of opinions could support the Yen. RBA could still sound hawkish amid sticky inflation. UK GDP and activity figures to shape sterling sentiment.


CFTC Report: FX repositioning dominates as commodities diverge

The week in one sentence: a historic Yen short unwind led to a broader recovery in FX positioning, while Gold strengthened with price confirmation, and renewed selling in WTI and Coffee reinforced commodity weakness. The Japanese Yen delivered the report's dominant move. Net positioning improved by nearly 118K contracts, the largest weekly increase since at least 2011.

9-3: Is the Federal Reserve’s vote tally Warsh's new forward guidance?
The rate did not move. Neither did the statement, and that’s the more interesting fact. Set the July 29 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement beside the one issued on June 17, and the two documents are identical apart from a single verb and a paragraph at the bottom naming three dissenters.