EUR/JPY price outlook: Euro/Japanese Yen navigating between arc levels

Mohamad Gharib Independent Analyst

Euro/Japanese Yen (EUR/JPY): Arc cycle analysis™

Overview: Based on Arc Cycle Analysis applied to the 1h chart, Euro/Japanese Yen is trading between the 1 (100%) Arc and the 1.236 (123.6%) Arc within the current Arc Cycle. Price has slipped below the 1 (100%) Arc and is drifting toward the 1.236 (123.6%) Arc, suggesting continued movement toward the lower Arc boundary.

Metric	Reading
Market Bias	Neutral-Bearish
Preferred Scenario	Potential Decline Toward 176.66
Primary Target Zone	176.66
Scenario Invalidation	Sustained close above 177.66
Current Arc Level	Between 1 (100%) and 1.236 (123.6%) Arcs
Cycle Status	Mid-Cycle Migration Phase
Arc Integrity	Neutral

Market outlook

Price is trading between the 1 (100%) Arc and the 1.236 (123.6%) Arc, indicating that the market is progressing through the current Arc Cycle with a neutral-bearish bias. If downside momentum continues, the preferred scenario is a decline toward 176.66.

Conversely, a sustained 1h close above 177.66 would invalidate this scenario and could shift the outlook back toward the 1 (100%) Arc.

Author

Mohamad Gharib

Independent Analyst

Mohamad Gharib is a Financial Markets Analyst and Quantitative Researcher with more than 18 years of experience in financial markets, including 15 years as an FX Quant Trader.

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