WTI rises as Trump threatens strikes on Iran

WTI climbs after President Trump threatened strikes on Iranian infrastructure and reinstated a blockade in the Strait of Hormuz.
Renewed Washington-Tehran tensions disrupted the energy market just as Persian Gulf producers had begun increasing oil exports.
Softer-than-expected US inflation data fueled market hopes that the Federal Reserve will adopt a less hawkish stance.

Akhtar Faruqui FXStreet

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil price extends its gains for the third successive day, trading around $79.20 per barrel during the Asian hours on Wednesday. Crude oil prices have climbed following threats from US President Donald Trump regarding additional military strikes on Iran. This escalation comes after the reinstatement of a US blockade against Tehran in the critical Strait of Hormuz.

Trump announced that military operations would persist, warning that the US could target Iranian bridges and power plants as early as next week if Tehran refuses to return to the negotiating table. In a slight policy shift, however, he dropped plans to impose a 20% fee on cargo transiting the Strait of Hormuz, claiming that any lost revenue would be easily offset by future investments from Gulf nations into the US.

These renewed tensions between Washington and Tehran have directly supported oil prices by heightening global supply concerns. The escalating friction adds fresh uncertainty to the energy market, especially since Persian Gulf producers had recently started increasing their exports following the signing of an interim peace agreement.

Softer-than-expected US inflation data fueled hopes that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) might adopt a less hawkish monetary stance. The US Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation eased to 3.5% year-over-year in June, dropping from a three-year high of 4.2% in May and coming in well below the market consensus of 3.8%. On a monthly basis, headline CPI actually declined by 0.4% in June, a notable shift from the 0.5% increase recorded in May.

WTI Oil FAQs

What is WTI Oil?

WTI Oil is a type of Crude Oil sold on international markets. The WTI stands for West Texas Intermediate, one of three major types including Brent and Dubai Crude. WTI is also referred to as “light” and “sweet” because of its relatively low gravity and sulfur content respectively. It is considered a high quality Oil that is easily refined. It is sourced in the United States and distributed via the Cushing hub, which is considered “The Pipeline Crossroads of the World”. It is a benchmark for the Oil market and WTI price is frequently quoted in the media.

What factors drive the price of WTI Oil?

Like all assets, supply and demand are the key drivers of WTI Oil price. As such, global growth can be a driver of increased demand and vice versa for weak global growth. Political instability, wars, and sanctions can disrupt supply and impact prices. The decisions of OPEC, a group of major Oil-producing countries, is another key driver of price. The value of the US Dollar influences the price of WTI Crude Oil, since Oil is predominantly traded in US Dollars, thus a weaker US Dollar can make Oil more affordable and vice versa.

How does inventory data impact the price of WTI Oil

The weekly Oil inventory reports published by the American Petroleum Institute (API) and the Energy Information Agency (EIA) impact the price of WTI Oil. Changes in inventories reflect fluctuating supply and demand. If the data shows a drop in inventories it can indicate increased demand, pushing up Oil price. Higher inventories can reflect increased supply, pushing down prices. API’s report is published every Tuesday and EIA’s the day after. Their results are usually similar, falling within 1% of each other 75% of the time. The EIA data is considered more reliable, since it is a government agency.

How does OPEC influence the price of WTI Oil?

OPEC (Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries) is a group of 12 Oil-producing nations who collectively decide production quotas for member countries at twice-yearly meetings. Their decisions often impact WTI Oil prices. When OPEC decides to lower quotas, it can tighten supply, pushing up Oil prices. When OPEC increases production, it has the opposite effect. OPEC+ refers to an expanded group that includes ten extra non-OPEC members, the most notable of which is Russia.

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

FXStreet

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

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