S&P 500 Price Analysis: Rejected at the 200-DMA slumps under 4320 amid Fed’s Powell press conference


  • The S&P 500 faced strong resistance at the 200-DMA followed by a sharp drop approaching January 25 daily lows at 4,287.
  • The S&P 500 plunges almost 1% during the New York session.
  • S&P 500 Technical Outlook: Downward biased, as it failed to reclaim the 200-DMA.

After the Federal Reserve announced that it keep the Federal Funds Rates (FFR) unchanged at the 0 to 0.25% range while signaling that they would hike rates “soon,” the S&P 500 plummets 1.09%. At the time of writing, the S&P 500 sits at 4,313.83.

S&P 500 Price Forecast: Technical outlook

From a technical analysis perspective, the S&P 500 failed to reclaim the 200-DMA, which sits at 4,432.65, eyeing the January 24 cycle low at 4,222.62, which was the low of the 12% correction that began on January 4.

That said, the S&P 500 outlook is bearish biased, spurred in part by the US T-bond 10-year Treasury yield rising up to 1.84%

The S&P 500 first support level would be the aforementioned January 24 low at 4,222.62. A breach of the latter would expose June 18, 2021, daily low, which previously tested the 50-day moving average (DMA) at 4,164.40, followed by May 19, 2021, daily low at 4,061.41.

To the upside, the S&P 500 first resistance would be 4453.23, followed by September 23, 2021, a daily high at 4,465.40. A break above that level would expose the 100-DMA at 4,570.04.

SP 500

Overview
Today last price 4325.1
Today Daily Change -30.46
Today Daily Change % -0.70
Today daily open 4355.56
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 4642.94
Daily SMA50 4654.2
Daily SMA100 4576.61
Daily SMA200 4442.24
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 4408.5
Previous Daily Low 4284.46
Previous Weekly High 4671.74
Previous Weekly Low 4393.15
Previous Monthly High 4812.38
Previous Monthly Low 4492.17
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 4331.84
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 4361.12
Daily Pivot Point S1 4290.51
Daily Pivot Point S2 4225.47
Daily Pivot Point S3 4166.47
Daily Pivot Point R1 4414.55
Daily Pivot Point R2 4473.55
Daily Pivot Point R3 4538.59

 

 

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