|

S&P 500 has the potential to rise to around 5,300 this year – UBS

The S&P 500 came close to rising above 5,000 for the first time on Wednesday. Economists at UBS see the potential for further gains.

Potential for a period of continued stronger growth, tame inflation, and swifter monetary easing

Our base case remains for a soft landing for the US economy, with the S&P 500 ending the year around current levels. However, recent economic data have highlighted the potential for a period of continued stronger growth, tame inflation, and swifter monetary easing. In this event, we believe the S&P 500 has the potential to rise to around 5,300 this year. 

We believe this would be a particularly positive outcome for small-cap stocks, which benefit more from Fed easing given their greater reliance on floating-rate debt.

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD flirts with 2026 lows around 0.6850

AUD/USD has rapidly left behind Monday’s optimism, shifting its attention to the downside and navigating the area of multi-month lows in the mid-0.6800s. The pair’s severe slump has come amid renewed and strong upside traction in the Greenback following further repricing of a rate hike by the Fed at its December meeting.

USD/JPY retakes 158.00 on weak Japanese data; focus shifts to US CPI

USD/JPY attracts some dip-buyers and retakes 158.00 in the Asian session on Tuesday as a fall in Japan’s Household Spending offsets hawkish BoJ Summary of Opinions, undermining the Japanese Yen. Moreover, Fed hike bets support the safe-haven US Dollar and the currency pair. The market focus now shifts to the release of the crucial US CPI report.

Gold flirts with $4,000 on solid USD buying

Gold slips back to the proximity of the key $4,000 mark per troy ounce on Tuesday, reaching new four-day lows at the same time. The yellow metal’s severe retracement follows the firm performance of the US Dollar, rising US Treasury yields across the curve and reignited speculation of extra Fed tightening.

Bitcoin vs Gold Outlook: BTC and XAU pull back as US inflation rises in October
Bitcoin (BTC) and Gold (XAU/USD) sustain a broad bearish trend on Tuesday, with BTC hovering around $74,000 and XAU near $4,050. The path of least resistance remains downward for both assets, weighed down by weak technical structures and macroeconomic uncertainties. Meanwhile, Gold appears supported at the pivotal $4,000 level, while Bitcoin continues to test lower demand areas toward $70,000.
Five risks for the global economy in 2027

From AI bubbles to geopolitical breakthroughs, these are some of the five ways why this outlook could go wrong – or right: A severe correction in US stocks triggered by an AI meltdown, second-round inflation effects emerge at scale or geopolitical de-escalation delivers an energy peace dividend.


Gold reclaimed $4,100. Tuesday’s CPI test decides if it holds
Gold (XAU/USD) starts the week on a positive note, reclaiming the $4,100 psychological level as the US Dollar (USD) retreats from its recent highs. The precious metal recovers from Friday's losses, although investors remain cautious ahead of Tuesday's US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report, which could determine the next direction for Bullion.