|

Singapore Dollar: Range-bound upside bias holds against US Dollar – UOB

UOB strategists Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann note that USD/SGD slipped overnight as Asian currencies stayed resilient and the SGD NEER held well above its mid-point. Their short-term view sees the pair confined to a tight intraday range, while the 1–3 week outlook still favours mild Dollar weakness toward key support levels unless resistance is broken.

Dollar softness capped by nearby support

"24-HOUR VIEW: We expected USD to “consolidate between 1.2785 and 1.2815” yesterday. We were incorrect as USD declined to a low of 1.2766 before recovering to close 0.21% lower at 1.2777. Despite declining, USD has not gained much momentum, and it is unlikely to weaken much further. Today, USD is more likely to trade in a range between 1.2765 and 1.2795."

"1-3 WEEKS VIEW: We turned slightly negative on USD on Monday (19 Oct, spot at 1.2800), indicating that “there has been a tentative buildup in downward momentum.” We highlighted that USD “may edge lower, but based on the prevailing momentum, any decline is unlikely to break the support at 1.2765.” Yesterday, USD fell to a low of 1.2766. Downward momentum has increased further, and USD could decline to 1.2750. Overall, only a breach of 1.2805 (‘strong resistance’ level previously at 1.2830) would indicate that the buildup in downward momentum has faded."

(This article was created with the help of an Artificial Intelligence tool and reviewed by an editor. Know more.)

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD challenges four-week highs beyond 0.7000

AUD/USD continues its march north, this time leaving behind the key 0.7000 hurdle and trading at shouting distance from multi-week tops. The persistent recovery in spot comes amid further losses in the Greenback amid extra improvement in the risk complex.

USD/JPY remains confined in a familiar range below 158.50

USD/JPY sees some dip-buying in the Asian session on Wednesday, though it remains confined within a multi-week range near 158.50 as the uncertainty over the timing of the next BoJ rate hike keeps Japanese Yen bulls on the defensive. Meanwhile, hawkish Fed expectations, bolstered by inflation risks stemming from volatile oil prices, underpin the US Dollar. However, looming intervention fears could limit JPY losses and cap the currency pair.

Gold advances modestly; targets $4,150

Gold prices manage to reverse three consecutive daily declines, trading just below the $4,150 mark per troy ounce on Wednesday. The precious metal’s recovery comes amid a slight drop in the US Dollar, mixed US Treasury yields across the board and a widespread cautious tone from the US-Iran front.

XRP and XLM regain momentum as derivatives activity picks up

Ripple and Stellar are regaining momentum on Wednesday, mirroring gains across major digital assets. XRP has climbed above $1.36, while XLM has reached $0.1854, reinforcing support levels recently tested. This gradual price increase comes amid sticky inflation in the United States and ahead of the Federal Reserve’s monetary decision next week.

What the midterm elections mean for Treasury yields, the Dollar and Gold
Democrats are priced to take the House, so November 3 comes down to the Senate and how much Washington can borrow without the other party. Treasury yields will show the answer first, then the Dollar and Gold. On November 3, Americans vote for all 435 House seats and 35 Senate seats. For bond prices, the result comes down to one thing: how much the government will borrow over the next two years.
The US Dollar fell. Gold didn't rally. That tells you everything
Gold (XAU/USD) is struggling to capitalize on a weaker US Dollar (USD), after repeatedly failing to establish itself above the $4,200 level. The precious metal remains confined to a relatively narrow trading range despite a combination of developments that would normally support higher prices.