|

Singapore Dollar: Near-term pressure against US Dollar - OCBC

OCBC’s Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong say the Singapore Dollar (SGD) slipped as the broad Dollar rebounded after Jackson Hole, but still retains relative resilience thanks to the S$NEER policy and firm domestic fundamentals. They caution that further USD/SGD downside may be harder to extend near term, with risks skewed to the upside and key resistance at 1.2740 and 1.2780/1.2790, and support at 1.2680 and 1.2650.

Dollar rebound caps Singapore Dollar downside

"SGD slipped amid broad USD rebound post-Jackson Hole. SGD could still retain relative resilience given effects of S$NEER policy backdrop and firm domestic fundamentals, but further USD/SGD downside may be harder to extend in the near term."

"A renewed move lower would likely require softer US data and a resumption of broader USD weakness, while RMB direction remains another key influence."

"Mild bearish momentum on daily chart faded but RSI rose. Risks skewed to the upside in the interim."

"Resistance here at 1.2740 levels (61.8% fibo retracement of 2026 low to high), 1.2780/90 levels (50% fibo, 21 DMA). Support at 1.2680 (76.4% fibo), 1.2650. "

(This article was created with the help of an Artificial Intelligence tool and reviewed by an editor. Know more.)

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD holds above multi-month lows and 0.6900 ahead of Fed's Warsh

AUD/USD struggles to capitalize on the previous day's modest bounce from its lowest level since early July and trades above 0.6900 during the Asian session on Friday. Thursday's disappointing Australian jobs data tempered RBA rate-hike bets, capping the Aussie. The US Dollar (USD), meanwhile, is regaining positive traction as this week's hot US CPI and PPI reports keep Fed rate hike bets firmly on the table. This further keeps a lid on the pair ahead of Fed Chair Kevin Warsh speech.

USD/JPY climbs above 158.00 as USD edges higher ahead of Warsh's speech

USD/JPY attracts some buyers during the Asian session on Friday, building on the overnight bounce from the vicinity of 157.50, or a one-week low, amid the emergence of some US Dollar buying. This week's hot US CPI and PPI reports lifted Fed rate-hike bets, which, along with stable US bond yields and geopolitical uncertainties, help revive USD demand. Traders, however, remain on high alert amid speculation that authorities will step in to prop up the Japanese Yen, which could cap the currency pair ahead of Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's speech.

Gold weakens to $4,150 amid reviving USD demand as traders await Warsh's speech

Gold drifts lower during the Asian session on Friday, reversing part of the previous day's move up amid reviving US Dollar demand. US inflation data released this week reaffirmed bets for at least one Fed rate hike this year, while US bond yields stabilize after Thursday's steep decline. This, along with geopolitical risks, underpins the safe-haven USD, which, in turn, is seen weighing on bullion ahead of Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's speech.

Ethereum reclaims $2,400 as PPI hits 6.3% and yields fall
Ethereum (ETH) is back above $2,400 on Thursday, rebounding from a brief decline toward $2,340, which was sparked by an upside surprise in the US wholesale inflation report. The Producer Price Index (PPI) increased 1.3% monthly and 6.3% annually in September, far above expectations of 0.5% and 5.3%, respectively.
The Iran war will eventually end. Tariffs won't. Here's the problem
Two cost shocks are in the September Consumer Price Index (CPI), and they have different half-lives. Energy is up 20.4% on the year and accounts for about 1.3 points of the 3.7% headline, and that shock reverses when Oil does: Brent was back at its pre-war price on July 1 and above $100 again by the end of the month, after the ceasefire collapsed on July 8.
Everyone's dumping Gold after hot US inflation. Here's why $4,100 could be a floor, not a cliff
Gold (XAU/USD) is recovering from a sharp sell-off triggered by hotter-than-expected United States (US) inflation data released on Wednesday. The precious metal briefly plunged toward $4,073 as investors increased their bets on further Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate hikes before recovering as US Treasury yields and the US Dollar (USD) reversed their initial gains.