Silver price rebounds as lower US yields, US-Iran tensions bolster haven demand
- Silver advances on Wednesday, rebounding after the previous day's decline.
- Lower US Treasury yields support precious metals despite expectations of restrictive monetary policy.
- Geopolitical tensions linked to the US-Iran conflict maintain inflation risks and support safe-haven demand.
Silver (XAG/USD) rises on Wednesday and trades around $76.00 at the time of writing, up 3.11% on the day, as investors return to precious metals following a pullback in US Treasury yields. The white metal rebounds after a sharp decline in the previous day, benefiting from a pause in the global Bond market sell-off.
The benchmark US 10-year Treasury yield is easing after recently reaching its highest levels in several months, reducing some of the pressure on non-yielding assets such as Silver. Lower yields typically reduce the opportunity cost of holding precious metals.
However, the macroeconomic backdrop continues to limit the market’s upside potential. Higher energy prices linked to persistent tensions between the United States (US) and Iran are fueling concerns about renewed inflationary pressures, reinforcing expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) may keep monetary policy restrictive for a longer period.
Markets continue to adjust their expectations for US interest rates following cautious comments from several policymakers. Investors are now looking ahead to the release of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting minutes later in the day for further clues on how policymakers assess the impact of rising energy prices on the inflation outlook.
Meanwhile, geopolitical developments remain in focus. Indirect negotiations between Washington and Tehran remain stalled, while statements from both sides continue to fuel concerns about a potential regional escalation. This environment maintains a persistent demand for safe-haven assets, providing additional support for Silver.
Silver FAQs
Silver is a precious metal highly traded among investors. It has been historically used as a store of value and a medium of exchange. Although less popular than Gold, traders may turn to Silver to diversify their investment portfolio, for its intrinsic value or as a potential hedge during high-inflation periods. Investors can buy physical Silver, in coins or in bars, or trade it through vehicles such as Exchange Traded Funds, which track its price on international markets.
Silver prices can move due to a wide range of factors. Geopolitical instability or fears of a deep recession can make Silver price escalate due to its safe-haven status, although to a lesser extent than Gold's. As a yieldless asset, Silver tends to rise with lower interest rates. Its moves also depend on how the US Dollar (USD) behaves as the asset is priced in dollars (XAG/USD). A strong Dollar tends to keep the price of Silver at bay, whereas a weaker Dollar is likely to propel prices up. Other factors such as investment demand, mining supply – Silver is much more abundant than Gold – and recycling rates can also affect prices.
Silver is widely used in industry, particularly in sectors such as electronics or solar energy, as it has one of the highest electric conductivity of all metals – more than Copper and Gold. A surge in demand can increase prices, while a decline tends to lower them. Dynamics in the US, Chinese and Indian economies can also contribute to price swings: for the US and particularly China, their big industrial sectors use Silver in various processes; in India, consumers’ demand for the precious metal for jewellery also plays a key role in setting prices.
Silver prices tend to follow Gold's moves. When Gold prices rise, Silver typically follows suit, as their status as safe-haven assets is similar. The Gold/Silver ratio, which shows the number of ounces of Silver needed to equal the value of one ounce of Gold, may help to determine the relative valuation between both metals. Some investors may consider a high ratio as an indicator that Silver is undervalued, or Gold is overvalued. On the contrary, a low ratio might suggest that Gold is undervalued relative to Silver.
Author
Ghiles Guezout
FXStreet
Ghiles Guezout is a Market Analyst with a strong background in stock market investments, trading, and cryptocurrencies. He combines fundamental and technical analysis skills to identify market opportunities.
