Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD hits fresh two-month highs with all eyes on Jackson Hole
- XAG/USD hits session highs above $70.00, on track to close a four-week rally.
- The focus on Friday is on Fed Warsh's speech at the Jackson Hole meeting.
- Silver bulls aim for the 200-day SMA, at $72.50.
Silver (XAG/USD) heads north for the second consecutive day on Friday, with all eyes on the Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Kevin Warsh’s speech at the Jackson Hole Symposium, due later on the day. The white metal extends gains to two-month highs a few cents below $71.00, after bouncing from the mid-range of the $67.00s on Thursday, on track to close a four-week rally.
Investors await Fed Warsh’s speech, eager for further insight about the central bank’s monetary policy, following the poor guidance provided at July’s monetary policy meeting. On Thursday, Kansas Fed President Jeffrey Schmidt and Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack called for immediate monetary tightening, following hot US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index figures the previous day.
Technical Analysis: Bulls aim for the 200-day SMA, at $72.50
XAG/USD trades at $70.44 with near-term price action showing a constructive bias from July's trough below $55.00. Momentum indicators in the daily chart remain within positive territory, with the Relative Strength Index (14) at 66 approaching, but not yet at overbought levels, and the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) highlighting moderate bullish traction.
Bulls are likely to meet resistance at the mid-June highs between $71.35 and $71.55 ahead of the key resistance area at the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA), a closely watched indicator in FX markets, which is now lying at $72.50. A break above there would open the way toward the June 4 high near $75.00.
On the downside, Thursday's low, at $67.63, is likely to provide support, ahead of a secondary floor near $63.25, which capped bears on August 18, and the August 6 low, near $60.90.
(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool. Know more.)
Silver FAQs
Silver is a precious metal highly traded among investors. It has been historically used as a store of value and a medium of exchange. Although less popular than Gold, traders may turn to Silver to diversify their investment portfolio, for its intrinsic value or as a potential hedge during high-inflation periods. Investors can buy physical Silver, in coins or in bars, or trade it through vehicles such as Exchange Traded Funds, which track its price on international markets.
Silver prices can move due to a wide range of factors. Geopolitical instability or fears of a deep recession can make Silver price escalate due to its safe-haven status, although to a lesser extent than Gold's. As a yieldless asset, Silver tends to rise with lower interest rates. Its moves also depend on how the US Dollar (USD) behaves as the asset is priced in dollars (XAG/USD). A strong Dollar tends to keep the price of Silver at bay, whereas a weaker Dollar is likely to propel prices up. Other factors such as investment demand, mining supply – Silver is much more abundant than Gold – and recycling rates can also affect prices.
Silver is widely used in industry, particularly in sectors such as electronics or solar energy, as it has one of the highest electric conductivity of all metals – more than Copper and Gold. A surge in demand can increase prices, while a decline tends to lower them. Dynamics in the US, Chinese and Indian economies can also contribute to price swings: for the US and particularly China, their big industrial sectors use Silver in various processes; in India, consumers’ demand for the precious metal for jewellery also plays a key role in setting prices.
Silver prices tend to follow Gold's moves. When Gold prices rise, Silver typically follows suit, as their status as safe-haven assets is similar. The Gold/Silver ratio, which shows the number of ounces of Silver needed to equal the value of one ounce of Gold, may help to determine the relative valuation between both metals. Some investors may consider a high ratio as an indicator that Silver is undervalued, or Gold is overvalued. On the contrary, a low ratio might suggest that Gold is undervalued relative to Silver.
Author
Guillermo Alcala
FXStreet
Graduated in Communication Sciences at the Universidad del Pais Vasco and Universiteit van Amsterdam, Guillermo has been working as financial news editor and copywriter in diverse Forex-related firms, like FXStreet and Kantox.
