Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD jumps near $79 as Dollar weakens on softer US inflation
- Silver rallies on Tuesday, climbing toward the $79 area after rebounding from $72.60 earlier in the week.
- Softer-than-expected US Producer Price Index data weighs on the US Dollar and supports precious metals.
- Hopes of renewed US-Iran negotiations improve market sentiment and further pressure the Greenback.
Silver (XAG/USD) surges on Tuesday, trading around $78.80 at the time of writing, up 4.16% on the day as strong buying interest pushed Silver to a daily high of $79.32. The white metal rebounds sharply after touching lows near $72.60 on Monday, benefiting from a broad weakening of the US Dollar (USD) and improving market sentiment.
Precious metals are gaining ground as investors also react to softer-than-expected inflation data in the United States (US). The Producer Price Index (PPI) published by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics earlier in the day, shows that annual producer inflation rose by 4% in March, below market expectations of 4.6%, while the monthly reading increased by 0.5%, also missing forecasts. The weaker figures are helping to dampen hawkish speculations about the future Federal Reserve (Fed) monetary policy, which is providing support for non-interest-bearing assets such as Silver.
At the same time, the US Dollar remains under pressure across currency markets. The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the performance of the Greenback against a basket of major currencies, declines toward six-week lows as traders adjust their expectations for US interest rates following the softer inflation figures.
Geopolitical developments are also shaping market sentiment. Reports suggesting the possibility of renewed negotiations between the US and Iran are boosting risk appetite after tensions escalated earlier in the week. According to Reuters, diplomatic efforts could lead to a new round of talks in Islamabad in the coming days, raising hopes of a potential de-escalation following the breakdown of previous discussions.
These developments come after US President Donald Trump indicated that Iranian officials had reached out to seek a possible agreement, suggesting that diplomatic channels remain open despite ongoing disagreements over Iran’s nuclear program.
In this context, the combination of a weaker US Dollar, softer inflation signals and easing geopolitical tensions is reinforcing demand for precious metals, allowing Silver to extend its recovery.
Silver FAQs
Silver is a precious metal highly traded among investors. It has been historically used as a store of value and a medium of exchange. Although less popular than Gold, traders may turn to Silver to diversify their investment portfolio, for its intrinsic value or as a potential hedge during high-inflation periods. Investors can buy physical Silver, in coins or in bars, or trade it through vehicles such as Exchange Traded Funds, which track its price on international markets.
Silver prices can move due to a wide range of factors. Geopolitical instability or fears of a deep recession can make Silver price escalate due to its safe-haven status, although to a lesser extent than Gold's. As a yieldless asset, Silver tends to rise with lower interest rates. Its moves also depend on how the US Dollar (USD) behaves as the asset is priced in dollars (XAG/USD). A strong Dollar tends to keep the price of Silver at bay, whereas a weaker Dollar is likely to propel prices up. Other factors such as investment demand, mining supply – Silver is much more abundant than Gold – and recycling rates can also affect prices.
Silver is widely used in industry, particularly in sectors such as electronics or solar energy, as it has one of the highest electric conductivity of all metals – more than Copper and Gold. A surge in demand can increase prices, while a decline tends to lower them. Dynamics in the US, Chinese and Indian economies can also contribute to price swings: for the US and particularly China, their big industrial sectors use Silver in various processes; in India, consumers’ demand for the precious metal for jewellery also plays a key role in setting prices.
Silver prices tend to follow Gold's moves. When Gold prices rise, Silver typically follows suit, as their status as safe-haven assets is similar. The Gold/Silver ratio, which shows the number of ounces of Silver needed to equal the value of one ounce of Gold, may help to determine the relative valuation between both metals. Some investors may consider a high ratio as an indicator that Silver is undervalued, or Gold is overvalued. On the contrary, a low ratio might suggest that Gold is undervalued relative to Silver.
Author
Ghiles Guezout
FXStreet
Ghiles Guezout is a Market Analyst with a strong background in stock market investments, trading, and cryptocurrencies. He combines fundamental and technical analysis skills to identify market opportunities.
