|

New Zealand Dollar gains as softer Fed outlook offsets Middle East tensions

  • The New Zealand Dollar gains against the US Dollar, with NZD/USD trading around 0.5850, up 0.14% on the day.
  • Expectations of a more accommodative Federal Reserve policy continue to support the Kiwi.
  • Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East are limiting risk appetite without derailing the New Zealand Dollar's advance.

NZD/USD moves higher on Monday and trades around 0.5850 at the time of writing, up 0.14% on the day, as the US Dollar (USD) weakens following the latest US inflation data. Investors have scaled back expectations of further interest rate hikes from the Federal Reserve (Fed), weighing on the Greenback and supporting higher-yielding currencies.

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) is also drawing support from monetary policy divergence with the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ). New Zealand's central bank raised its Official Cash Rate earlier this month and signaled that further tightening remains likely if inflationary pressures persist. Several banks, including BBH and HSBC, believe that elevated inflation and an improving domestic economic outlook argue for additional rate hikes, a supportive factor for the Kiwi.

In the United States (US), data released last week showed slower Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI) inflation, reinforcing expectations that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged at its next policy meeting. Markets now see a rate hold as the most likely outcome, although several Fed officials continue to call for caution regarding inflation risks.

In Asia, the People's Bank of China (PBoC) left its benchmark lending rates unchanged for a fourteenth consecutive month, a widely expected decision that had little impact on the New Zealand Dollar.

Geopolitical tensions continue to limit the upside for risk-sensitive currencies. Iran said intermediaries have delivered messages aimed at de-escalating tensions in recent days, while Yemen's Houthis announced a naval blockade against Saudi Arabia, adding to concerns over energy markets. So far, these developments have boosted demand for safe-haven assets without derailing NZD/USD's advance as the persistent weakness in the US Dollar remains the pair's main driver.

New Zealand Dollar Price Today

The table below shows the percentage change of New Zealand Dollar (NZD) against listed major currencies today. New Zealand Dollar was the strongest against the Swiss Franc.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD0.21%-0.02%0.05%0.16%-0.42%-0.08%0.28%
EUR-0.21%-0.19%-0.13%-0.07%-0.62%-0.33%0.07%
GBP0.02%0.19%0.07%0.14%-0.43%-0.12%0.24%
JPY-0.05%0.13%-0.07%0.11%-0.48%-0.13%0.20%
CAD-0.16%0.07%-0.14%-0.11%-0.57%-0.23%0.10%
AUD0.42%0.62%0.43%0.48%0.57%0.33%0.71%
NZD0.08%0.33%0.12%0.13%0.23%-0.33%0.34%
CHF-0.28%-0.07%-0.24%-0.20%-0.10%-0.71%-0.34%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the New Zealand Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent NZD (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Ghiles Guezout

Ghiles Guezout is a Market Analyst with a strong background in stock market investments, trading, and cryptocurrencies. He combines fundamental and technical analysis skills to identify market opportunities.

More from Ghiles Guezout
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD tumbles to three-day lows around 1.3420

GBP/USD comes under extra selling pressure and revisits the area of multi-day lows near 1.3420 in quite a bearish start to the week. Cable’s decline comes amid the firmer Greenback as investors continue to assess developments in the US-Iran conflict. Moving forward, attention will turn to the UK employment report on Tuesday.


EUR/USD declines to near 1.1400 as US launches fresh strikes on Iran

The EUR/USD pair posts modest losses around 1.1410 during the early Asian trading hours on Tuesday. Renewed tensions between the United States (US) and Iran continue to fuel risk-off sentiment, weighing on the Euro (EUR) against the US Dollar (USD). The ZEW surveys from Germany and the Eurozone are due later on Tuesday.  Also, the US ADP employment report will be released. 

Gold rises cautiously as Fed hike bets, US‑Iran tensions cap gains

Gold regains positive traction following the previous day's two-way price moves, though it struggles to capitalize on the move and trades below the $4,050 level during the Asian session on Tuesday. Despite a cycle of tit-for-tat strikes between the US and Iran, US Secretary of State Marco Rubio said on Sunday that the US was still open to holding talks with Iran, keeping hopes alive for a potential diplomatic resolution to the conflict.

Grayscale eyes Worldcoin ETF launch following S-1 filing

Grayscale filed an S-1 registration statement with the US Securities and Exchange Commission on Monday to launch a Grayscale Worldcoin ETF. The proposed fund, which would trade on Nasdaq under the ticker GWLD, is designed to give investors exposure to Worldcoin through a traditional brokerage account, eliminating the need to buy the token directly.

Here's where the Canadian Dollar is headed next: 4 bearish scenarios and a bullish one
The Canadian Dollar (CAD) has ridden a volatile first half of the year, with Oil prices surging and then falling as markets danced to the Middle East’s tune. Neither the Bank of Canada nor the Federal Reserve has changed rates so far this year, and the USD/CAD's next move may depend on which of the two banks fails to deliver what markets expect.
US Dollar mid-year outlook: Exceptional currency, exceptional risks?
The US Dollar enters the second half of 2026 in a markedly different position from a year ago. The King currency has recovered, reflecting persistent US inflation, changing expectations for Fed policy, geopolitical tensions and renewed demand for defensive assets.