|

Japanese Yen: Mixed outlook within defined band against US Dollar – UOB

UOB’s Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann report that USD/JPY rebounded after a sharp drop to 161.26, with intraday gains expected to be capped between 161.60 and 162.45. Over the next 1–3 weeks, the outlook is described as mixed, with trading likely between 160.60 and 163.00. On a 1–3 month view, further gains are possible as long as the pair holds above the 21‑day EMA near 161.00.

Dollar Yen rebound seen limited

"24-HOUR VIEW: USD fell sharply in the early Asian session last Friday. When it was at 162.00, we stated that “further declines seem likely, but it is unclear whether 161.40 will come into view.” USD then fell to 161.26 before rebounding to close at 161.69 (-0.42%). USD continues to rebound today. The price action suggests that the sharp drop from Friday has stabilised. Today, while USD could rebound further, any advance is likely to be contained within a 161.60/162.45 range."

"1-3 WEEKS VIEW: Our most recent narrative was from last Tuesday (07 Jul, spot at 162.10), when we indicated that “the outlook for USD is mixed,” and it could “trade between the two major levels of 160.60 and 163.00.” Last Friday, USD dropped sharply to 161.26 before recovering. The price action provides no fresh clues, and the outlook remains mixed. For the time being, USD could continue to trade between the two major levels of 160.60 and 163.00."

(This article was created with the help of an Artificial Intelligence tool and reviewed by an editor. Know more.)

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD rebounds from multi-day lows; still below 1.3600

Following an initial drop to fresh six-day lows, GBP/USD now picks up some updside traction and trades in levels just shy of the 1.3600 barrier on Thursday. The generalised cautious tone among market participants continue to underpin the Greenback ahead of Friday’s data releases and the Fed Warsh’s speech.

EUR/USD trims loses, flirts with 1.1650

EUR/USD now manages to regain some composure, trimming earlier losses and reclaiming the mid-1.1600s on Thursday. The pair’s pullback comes on the back of marginal gains in the US Dollar, as market participants now shift their attention to Friday’s NFP revision and the speech by Chair Warsh at the Jackson Hole Symposium.

Gold returns to the sub-$4,600 zone, weekly lows

Gold adds to Wednesday’s pullback, reaching new weekly lows around $4,570 per troy ounce on Thursday. The precious metal remains on the back foot despite the widespread caution and the lack of clear direction of the US Dollar.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP bulls regain strength amid steady capital inflows

Cryptocurrency prices are broadly edging higher on Thursday, led by Bitcoin’s uptick near $80,000. Altcoins mirror Bitcoin’s short-term bullish outlook, with Ethereum trading above $2,500 and Ripple hovering above its key $1.40 support.

Diesel’s record $100 warning: The oil shock hiding in plain sight

The Oil market may look calmer than it did a few months ago, but diesel is sending a very different message. The US diesel crack spread, the premium of ultra-low sulphur diesel futures over WTI, recently surged above $100 per barrel for the first time, reaching an intraday record of just over $102.00.

Kevin Warsh’s Jackson Hole dilemma: Say too much, too little, or just enough

Kevin Warsh is preparing to deliver his first Jackson Hole speech as Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair on Friday, and expectations extend well beyond whether interest rates will be raised or left unchanged in September.