|

Japanese Yen: May weaken further versus US Dollar toward 160.75 – UOB

UOB’s Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann note USD/JPY held above 160.00 and closed modestly higher around 160.25. Intraday, mild upward momentum points to a move toward 160.50, with major resistance at 160.75 unlikely to be threatened immediately. Over 1–3 weeks, the pair is expected to rise gradually toward 160.75, provided support at 159.60/159.95 holds.

Dollar Yen retains gentle upside bias

"24-HOUR VIEW: USD traded between 159.70 and 160.07 last Thursday. On Friday, we stated that “the price action provides no fresh clues, and USD could trade between 159.65 and 160.15.” During the early NY session, USD dipped to a low of 159.82 and then rose to 160.34. USD closed modestly higher at 160.29, up by 0.17%. The slight increase in upward momentum suggests that USD is likely to edge higher to 160.50. The major resistance at 160.75 is unlikely to come under threat. Support is at 160.05; a breach of 159.95 would suggest that the current mild upward pressure has eased."

"1-3 WEEKS VIEW: We highlighted last Thursday (04 Jun, spot at 159.90) that “upward momentum has largely faded,” and we expected USD “to range-trade, albeit with a firm underlying tone, likely between 159.20 and 160.30.” Last Friday, USD rose above 160.30, printing a high of 160.34. Upward momentum is building, albeit tentatively. From here, USD could rise gradually, and the level to watch is 160.75. To sustain the momentum, USD must hold above 159.60 (‘strong support’ level)"

(This article was created with the help of an Artificial Intelligence tool and reviewed by an editor.)

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD challenges four-week highs beyond 0.7000

AUD/USD continues its march north, this time leaving behind the key 0.7000 hurdle and trading at shouting distance from multi-week tops. The persistent recovery in spot comes amid further losses in the Greenback amid extra improvement in the risk complex.

USD/JPY remains confined in a familiar range below 158.50

USD/JPY sees some dip-buying in the Asian session on Wednesday, though it remains confined within a multi-week range near 158.50 as the uncertainty over the timing of the next BoJ rate hike keeps Japanese Yen bulls on the defensive. Meanwhile, hawkish Fed expectations, bolstered by inflation risks stemming from volatile oil prices, underpin the US Dollar. However, looming intervention fears could limit JPY losses and cap the currency pair.

Gold advances modestly; targets $4,150

Gold prices manage to reverse three consecutive daily declines, trading just below the $4,150 mark per troy ounce on Wednesday. The precious metal’s recovery comes amid a slight drop in the US Dollar, mixed US Treasury yields across the board and a widespread cautious tone from the US-Iran front.

XRP and XLM regain momentum as derivatives activity picks up

Ripple and Stellar are regaining momentum on Wednesday, mirroring gains across major digital assets. XRP has climbed above $1.36, while XLM has reached $0.1854, reinforcing support levels recently tested. This gradual price increase comes amid sticky inflation in the United States and ahead of the Federal Reserve’s monetary decision next week.

What the midterm elections mean for Treasury yields, the Dollar and Gold
Democrats are priced to take the House, so November 3 comes down to the Senate and how much Washington can borrow without the other party. Treasury yields will show the answer first, then the Dollar and Gold. On November 3, Americans vote for all 435 House seats and 35 Senate seats. For bond prices, the result comes down to one thing: how much the government will borrow over the next two years.
The US Dollar fell. Gold didn't rally. That tells you everything
Gold (XAU/USD) is struggling to capitalize on a weaker US Dollar (USD), after repeatedly failing to establish itself above the $4,200 level. The precious metal remains confined to a relatively narrow trading range despite a combination of developments that would normally support higher prices.