|

Gold Price Forecast: XAUUSD could be set-up for a short-squeeze as Fed set to deliver two consecutive 75 bps hikes – TDS

Markets now expect the Federal Reserve (Fed) to hike its policy rate by a total of 150 bps at the next two meetings. Economists at TD Securities believe that gold and risk markets alike could be set-up for a short-squeeze.

Sell-the-news rally could catalyze a counter-intuitive knee-jerk reaction in gold

“Careful: this Fed day, a sell-the-news rally could catalyze a counter-intuitive knee-jerk reaction in gold.”

“With markets already nearly fully pricing in two consecutive 75 bps hikes, gold and risk markets alike could be set-up for a short-squeeze, which has typically served to shake weak shorts out of the markets and spark some optimism that the worst is over, which ultimately sets the market up for the next leg lower thereafter.”

See – Fed Preview: Forecasts from 12 major banks, increasing bets of a 75 bps rate hike

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD flat lines near 1.1750 ahead of ECB policy decision

EUR/USD remains flat after two down days, trading around 1.1750 in the European session on Thursday. Traders move to the sidelines and refrain from placing any fresh directional bets on the pair ahead of the ECB policy announcements and the US CPI inflation data. 

GBP/USD consolidates above mid-1.3300s as traders await BoE and US CPI report

The GBP/USD pair struggles to capitalize on the overnight bounce from the 1.3310 area, or a one-week low, and oscillates in a narrow band during the Asian session on Thursday. Spot prices currently trade around the 1.3370 region, down less than 0.10% for the day, as traders opt to wait on the sidelines ahead of the key central bank event risk and US consumer inflation data.

Gold awaits weekly trading range breakout ahead of US CPI report

Gold struggles to capitalize on the previous day's move higher back closer to the $4,350 level and trades with a mild negative bias during the Asian session on Thursday. The downtick could be attributed to some profit-taking amid a US Dollar uptick, though it is likely to remain cushioned on the back of a supportive fundamental backdrop. 

Dogecoin breaks key support amid declining investor confidence

Dogecoin trades in the red on Thursday, following a 4% decline on the previous day. The DOGE supply in profit declines as large wallet investors trim their portfolios. Derivatives data shows a surge in bearish positions amid declining retail interest.

Monetary policy: Three central banks, three decisions, the same caution

While the Fed eased its monetary policy on 10 December for the third consecutive FOMC meeting, without making any guarantees about future action, the BoE, the ECB and the BoJ are holding their respective meetings this week. 

Dogecoin Price Forecast: DOGE breaks key support amid declining investor confidence

Dogecoin (DOGE) trades in the red on Thursday, following a 4% decline on the previous day. The DOGE supply in profit declines as large wallet investors trim their portfolios. Derivatives data shows a surge in bearish positions amid declining retail interest.