|

German IFO Business Climate Index declines to 86.4 in December vs. 87.8 expected

  • German IFO Business Climate Index fell unexpectedly in December.
  • IFO Current Economic Assessment declined to 88.5 in the reported month.

The headline German IFO Business Climate Index declined to 86.4 in December from 87.2 in November. Markets were expecting this figure to improve slightly to 87.8.

Meanwhile, the Current Economic Assessment Index came in at 88.5 in the same period, below the November reading and the market expectation of 89.4 and 89.5, respectively.

Finally, the IFO Expectations Index – indicating firms’ projections for the next six months, edged lower to 84.3 from 85.1.

Market reaction to the German IFO Survey

EUR/USD showed no immediate reaction to the disappointing sentiment data and was last seen rising 0.25% on a daily basis at 1.0920.

About German IFO

The headline IFO business climate index was rebased and recalibrated in April after the IFO Research Institute changed the series from the base year of 2000 to the base year of 2005 as of May 2011 and then changed series to include services as of April 2018. The survey now includes 9,000 monthly survey responses from firms in the manufacturing, service sector, trade and construction.

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

More from Eren Sengezer
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD remains below 0.7000 amid light trading

AUD/USD fills a modest bearish gap on Monday, but remains below 0.7000 in the Asian session amid holiday-thinned liquidity. The US Dollar attempts a bounce even as US bond yields pull back from multi-year highs, limiting the pair. Moreover, diminishing odds of another RBA rate hike in November cap the Aussie.

USD/JPY hovers above 158.00 amid Japan/ US holiday

USD/JPY extends its range-bound price action into a new week, trading above 158.00 as bulls remain on high alert amid speculation that authorities will step in to prop up the Japanese Yen. Meanwhile, softer US bond yields keep US Dollar bulls on the back foot and cap the pair's upside. However, geopolitical uncertainties could limit losses for the safe-haven buck amid thin liquidity due to a holiday in Japan and the US.

Gold drifts higher above $4,200 on surging ETF inflows, markets await US inflation data this week

Gold price gains ground to near $4,215 during the early Asian session on Monday. The precious metal extends the rally amid rising demand for bullion-backed exchange-traded funds and a weaker US Dollar. Yellow metal receives some support from rising investment demand, with inflows into gold-backed exchange-traded funds reaching a four-year high, according to Bloomberg data.

Week ahead: US CPI, France’s budget crisis and Q3 earnings to set the market tone
The US dollar held relatively strong this week, despite the disappointing US jobs report on October 2, which further decreased the probability of a back-to-back rate hike by the Fed at the upcoming gathering on October 28.
Middle East War updates: New attack launched on Saudi airport
Here’s a brief recap of the key developments in the Middle East war that occurred over the weekend, which are expected to have a significant impact on markets in the upcoming week. In the world of financial jargon the two widely used terms “risk-on” and “risk off'' refer to the level of risk that investors are willing to stomach during the period referenced.
Has Bitcoin really escaped the macro forces it was built to fight?
Over 17 years ago, Satoshi Nakamoto designed Bitcoin (BTC) on the back of a global financial crisis as an alternative to the global monetary system outside the control of central banks, governments and traditional intermediaries. This raises a key question: has Bitcoin really become independent of the macroeconomic forces it was built to challenge?