- Cable pares some of Monday’s gains and retraces towards the 1.2530s region.
- Risk-aversion and weaker than the expected UK PMIs weighed on the GBP/USD.
- GBP/USD Price Forecast: A daily close below 1.2600 to leave exposed the major to additional selling pressure.
The British pound shifted to the defensive as sentiment shifted sour and weighed by weaker than expected UK PMIs, which dragged the major from weekly highs at around 1.2600 towards the 1.2530s area. At 1.2536, the GBP/USD is trimming some of Monday’s gains and is down 0.40%.
The mood remains dampened, spurred by concerns about the US economy falling into a recession. The Federal Reserve is on a hiking cycle, tightening its monetary policy, which according to money market futures, would see the Fed hiking towards the 2.75-3% area by the end of the year.
Another factor that is weighing on is China’s Covid-19 crisis. Reports over the weekend illustrated that Beijing is struggling to cap the spread. Meanwhile, Shanghai, which was about to lift restrictions, witnessed another outbreak, though not as at the beginning of the last episode.
Elsewhere, the GBP/USD opened near the daily high around 1.2600 but fell and broke below the central and S1 daily pivot points, near the 1.2480s. Nevertheless, towards the end of the European session, the major is treading water and is aiming towards the 50-hour simple moving average (SMA) at 1.2542.
GBP/USD Price Forecast Technical outlook
From a technical perspective, the GBP/USD remains downward biased, despite bouncing 300 pips from the YTD low to current levels. The 1.2600 mark probes to be a solid resistance, as the GBP/USD bulls struggled twice to reclaim the figure, which would have opened the door for an upward move towards the May 4 swing high at 1.2638. However, a daily close below 1.2600 would leave the pair vulnerable to additional selling pressure, further validated by the RSI at 48.69, within the negative territory and aiming lower.
That said, the GBP/USD first support would be the psychological 1.2500 figure. A breach of the latter would expose July 2020 lows near 1.2479, followed by the May 17 daily low at 1.2313 and the YTD low at 1.2155.
Key Technical Levels
|Today last price||1.2536|
|Today Daily Change||-0.0055|
|Today Daily Change %||-0.44|
|Today daily open||1.2588|
|Previous Daily High||1.2601|
|Previous Daily Low||1.2479|
|Previous Weekly High||1.2525|
|Previous Weekly Low||1.2217|
|Previous Monthly High||1.3167|
|Previous Monthly Low||1.2411|
|Daily Fibonacci 38.2%||1.2555|
|Daily Fibonacci 61.8%||1.2526|
|Daily Pivot Point S1||1.2511|
|Daily Pivot Point S2||1.2434|
|Daily Pivot Point S3||1.2389|
|Daily Pivot Point R1||1.2633|
|Daily Pivot Point R2||1.2678|
|Daily Pivot Point R3||1.2755|
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.
If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.
FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.
The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.