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GBP/JPY Price Analysis: Head-and-shoulders chart pattern eyes 161.00

  • The GBP/JPY snapped two days of losses and erased Wednesday’s gains on Thursday.
  • In the near term, the GBP/JPY hourly chart formed a head-and-shoulders chart pattern, targeting 161.00.

On Thursday, the GBP/JPY finished the session in the red after hitting a daily high at 163.24 but tumbled towards the 162.10s region due to a shift in sentiment. As the Asian Pacific session begins, the GBP/JPY edges slightly up, trading at 162.10 at the time of writing.

Wall Street closed Thursday’s session in the green, erasing earlier losses. Asian equity futures are mixed, while in the FX space, the British pound is the laggard, while the yen position is slightly better than its British counterpart.

GBP/JPY Price Analysis: Technical outlook

Reviewing the daily chart, the GBP/JPY is still neutral-biased. On Thursday, the GBP/JPY failure to decisively break above the 100-day EMA exacerbated a fall from above 163.00s to current price levels, meaning sellers regained control.

If GBP/JPY sellers decisively break below August’s 18 low at 161.68, that could pave the way for further downside. On the flip side, a break above the 20-day EMA at 162.65 could send the pair rallying towards the 100-day EMA at 163.69.

Zooming into the one-hour scale, the GBP/JPY formed a head-and-shoulders chart pattern, meaning further downside pressure is expected. Nevertheless, a break above 162,37 would negate the chart pattern.

The GBP/JPY first support would be the 100-hour EMA at 161.96. A breach of the latter will expose the August 17 low at 161.68, followed by the S1 daily pivot at 161,41, before hitting the head-and-shoulders pattern at 161.00.


GBP/JPY Hourly chart

GBP/JPY Key Technical Levels

GBP/JPY

Overview
Today last price162.09
Today Daily Change-0.58
Today Daily Change %-0.36
Today daily open162.68
 
Trends
Daily SMA20162.91
Daily SMA50163.94
Daily SMA100163.08
Daily SMA200158.81
 
Levels
Previous Daily High163.57
Previous Daily Low162.18
Previous Weekly High163.85
Previous Weekly Low161.27
Previous Monthly High166.34
Previous Monthly Low160.4
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%163.04
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%162.71
Daily Pivot Point S1162.05
Daily Pivot Point S2161.42
Daily Pivot Point S3160.66
Daily Pivot Point R1163.45
Daily Pivot Point R2164.21
Daily Pivot Point R3164.84

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

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