|

GBP holds a solid gain on the week – Scotiabank

With no local developments or data of note to drive markets, the GBP’s rebound today reflects the still soft undertone of the USD and a recovery from yesterday’s PPI-driven volatility, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret report.

Sterling is firmer on the session

"The Pound Sterling (GBP) is lagging some of its G10 peers somewhat this morning but has had a solid week overall, rising against the USD and EUR, as markets rethink the outlook for UK monetary policy after last week’s BoE decision."

"Sterling is firmer on the session but yesterday’s peak and minor reversal from the 1.3595 area warrants attention as the pound topped out at a similar point in late July. Cable has put together a solid run of gains since basing in early August but spot needs to push on through to a 1.36 handle to extend gains. Support is 1.3520."

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD meets support near 0.7020 ahead of key jobs data

AUD/USD’s decline has gathered extra pace on Wednesday, with the pair slipping back to levels last seen in early August in the low 0.7000s. The continuation of the bearish tone in the pair has come on the back of the strong upward trend in the Greenback, underpinned by rising bets for extra tightening by the Fed. Moving forward, the jobs report will gather all the attention on the domestic calendar.

USD/JPY stands firm near mid-157.00s, close to two-week high

USD/JPY hovers around mid-157.00s in the Asian session on Wednesday, near two-week highs touched last Friday as the BoJ's dovish rate hike continues to undermine the Japanese Yen. Meanwhile, the US Dollar remains firm amid the Fed's hawkish stance, adding support to the pair, though JPY intervention fears cap further gains. Markets pay little heed to the completion of the round of US-Iran indirect talks ahead of Trump-Xi meeting.

Gold falls to weekly troughs below $4,300

Gold rapidly leaves behind two daily upticks in a row and comes under heightened downside pressure midweek. Indeed, the precious metal breaches below the $4,300 mark per troy ounce to reach weekly lows amid the marked recovery in the US Dollar and the generalised upbeat tone in the US money market.

Australia unemployment rate expected to remain unchanged at 4.5% in August
Australia will release the August monthly employment report on Thursday at 01:30 GMT. Ahead of the announcement, analysts expect the country to have added 20K new jobs in the month, while the Unemployment Rate is expected to remain steady at 4.5%. The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) report is also expected to show that the Participation Rate stood at 66.9%, unchanged from the previous month.
Freight costs may reach US shelves after the Fed plans to stop hiking

The Federal Reserve has forecast its main reference rate unchanged through 2027, a year when higher shipping costs are likely still reaching US store prices. Shipping a container from Asia to the US costs more than four times what it did before the war with Iran began in late February. International Monetary Fund research puts the peak effect on shop prices roughly a year out, in 2027.

BoJ Recap: Not as hawkish as expected

The Bank of Japan (BoJ) raised its short-term interest-rate target to 1.25% from 1.00% in a 7-2 vote, marking another step in the normalisation of monetary policy and widely matching what everyone has been expecting for weeks.