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Fed’s Hammack calls for higher rates as inflation pressures broaden

Cleveland Federal Reserve (Fed) President Beth Hammack said Monday that interest rates need to be higher, that inflation remains “too high”, and that more economic tightness is needed.

Hammack added that inflationary pressures have broadened, that financial conditions are neutral, and that reaching the Fed’s 2% goal “will take some time.” She also recognized that she prefers “smaller policy rate changes.”

Key highlights:

Interest rates need to be higher

Keeping an open-mind about right timing.

Inflation remains too high with the Fed having missed its 2% target for five and a half years.

I think more tightness needed in economy.

Biggest risk is inflationary mindset.

Inflation pressures widespread, not focused

Demand-side pressures from AI are not self-correcting

Frequent, smaller tweaks lower risks

Risk of inflationary mindset becoming ingrained

Restrictive approach needed to achieve 2% inflation

Financial conditions are neutral

Broad inflation, sustained growth require tight monetary policy

Trend inflation now in mid-to-high 2% range, expects it will take some time to return to 2% target despite appropriate monetary policy

Prefers Fed make smaller policy rate changes but act relatively quickly: says

Strong demand, not just energy, adds to price pressures

Steady job market offers scope to tackle inflation

Do not assume anchored inflation expectations as firms plan price hikes beyond input cost rises, signaling an inflationary mindset

Fed officials have duty to clarify their decisions

Important to clarify reaction function so businesses and households can plan effectively

US Dollar Price Today

The table below shows the percentage change of US Dollar (USD) against listed major currencies today. US Dollar was the strongest against the Swiss Franc.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD0.37%0.20%0.22%0.18%0.37%0.47%0.54%
EUR-0.37%-0.19%-0.16%-0.20%-0.01%0.14%0.16%
GBP-0.20%0.19%0.04%-0.04%0.17%0.32%0.34%
JPY-0.22%0.16%-0.04%-0.06%0.14%0.28%0.31%
CAD-0.18%0.20%0.04%0.06%0.19%0.30%0.36%
AUD-0.37%0.00%-0.17%-0.14%-0.19%0.16%0.16%
NZD-0.47%-0.14%-0.32%-0.28%-0.30%-0.16%0.01%
CHF-0.54%-0.16%-0.34%-0.31%-0.36%-0.16%-0.01%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the US Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the Japanese Yen, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent USD (base)/JPY (quote).

Fed FAQs

Monetary policy in the US is shaped by the Federal Reserve (Fed). The Fed has two mandates: to achieve price stability and foster full employment. Its primary tool to achieve these goals is by adjusting interest rates. When prices are rising too quickly and inflation is above the Fed’s 2% target, it raises interest rates, increasing borrowing costs throughout the economy. This results in a stronger US Dollar (USD) as it makes the US a more attractive place for international investors to park their money. When inflation falls below 2% or the Unemployment Rate is too high, the Fed may lower interest rates to encourage borrowing, which weighs on the Greenback.

The Federal Reserve (Fed) holds eight policy meetings a year, where the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) assesses economic conditions and makes monetary policy decisions. The FOMC is attended by twelve Fed officials – the seven members of the Board of Governors, the president of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, and four of the remaining eleven regional Reserve Bank presidents, who serve one-year terms on a rotating basis.

In extreme situations, the Federal Reserve may resort to a policy named Quantitative Easing (QE). QE is the process by which the Fed substantially increases the flow of credit in a stuck financial system. It is a non-standard policy measure used during crises or when inflation is extremely low. It was the Fed’s weapon of choice during the Great Financial Crisis in 2008. It involves the Fed printing more Dollars and using them to buy high grade bonds from financial institutions. QE usually weakens the US Dollar.

Quantitative tightening (QT) is the reverse process of QE, whereby the Federal Reserve stops buying bonds from financial institutions and does not reinvest the principal from the bonds it holds maturing, to purchase new bonds. It is usually positive for the value of the US Dollar.

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

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