|

Euro extends reversal against British Pound amid grim Eurozone Industrial Production

  • EUR/GBP retreats to levels below 0.8460 from session highs near 0.8480.
  • The Euro pulls back from session highs as Eurozone Industrial Production disappoints, while UK GDP beats expectations.
  • Previously, the pair had drawn some support from the Pound's weakness following dovish comments from BoE's Pill.

The Euro (EUR) retreats further from session highs against the British Pound (GBP) on Thursday, as Eurozone Industrial Production misses expectations, while UK monthly Dros Domestic Product (GDP) figures posted a positive surprise. The EUR/GBP pair has retreated below 0.8460 from session highs near 0.8480 during the early Asian trade and is practically flat on the daily chart.

Data released by Eurostat earlier on Thursday revealed that Industrial Production contracted 0.5% in August, marking the third consecutive monthly decline, against market expectations of a flat performance. Apart from that, July's data has been revised to a 0.3% decline from previous estimates of a 0.1% contraction.

These figures add negative pressure on the Euro, which was already on the defensive, following a positive surprise in the UK's Gross Domestic Product (GDP) figures.

UK economy grew 0.1% in August, according to monthly GDP figures released by National Statistics earlier on Thursday, beating expectations of a 0.1% contraction and following a 0.4% growth in the previous month. August's increase has been largely due to better-than-expected UK Industrial Production data, which has offset the poor performance of the construction and services sectors.

BoE’s Pill tempers rate hike expectations, limiting GBP upside

Before that, dovish comments by the Bank of England’s (BoE) chief economist, Huw Pill, downplaying market speculation about an upcoming monetary tightening cycle sent the Pound tumbling against its main peers on Wednesday and early Thursday's trading. The EUR/GBP bounced from 16-month lows at 0.8426 to session highs near 0.8480.

Pill warned on Wednesday that a potential monetary tightening move “should not give the impression that a hike now would be the start of a series of increases,” dampening hopes of a sustained tightening cycle and capping immediate GBP support.

This framing suggests any future move would be more of a fine-tuning than the start of a new hiking phase, which reduces the appeal of GBP versus the Euro and Dollar on a relative policy divergence basis. For FX markets, the speech leans toward a one-and-done narrative, encouraging traders to fade aggressive GBP strength and focus instead on data-dependent, range-bound trading strategies.

Economic Indicator

Industrial Production s.a. (MoM)

The Industrial Production index, released by Eurostat on a monthly basis, measures changes in the price-adjusted output of industry. It is a widely-followed indicator to gauge the strength in the Eurozone’s manufacturing sector. Generally, a high reading is seen as bullish for the Euro (EUR), while a low reading is seen as bearish.

Read more.

Last release: Thu Oct 15, 2026 09:00

Frequency: Monthly

Actual: -0.5%

Consensus: 0%

Previous: -0.1%

Source: Eurostat

Economic Indicator

Industrial Production w.d.a. (YoY)

The Industrial Production is released by the Eurostat. It shows the volume of production of Industries such as factories and manufacturing. Up trend is regarded as inflationary which may anticipate interest rates to rise. Usually, if high industrial production growth comes out, this may generate a positive sentiment (or bullish) for the EUR, while low industrial production is seen as a negative sentiment (or bearish).

Read more.

Last release: Thu Oct 15, 2026 09:00

Frequency: Monthly

Actual: -1.1%

Consensus: -0.1%

Previous: 0%

Source: Eurostat

Author

Guillermo Alcala

Graduated in Communication Sciences at the Universidad del Pais Vasco and Universiteit van Amsterdam, Guillermo has been working as financial news editor and copywriter in diverse Forex-related firms, like FXStreet and Kantox.

More from Guillermo Alcala
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD keeps the red near 0.6950 after weak Aussie jobs data

AUD/USD holds losses near 0.6950 on disappointing Australian jobs data, extending the previous day's retracement slide from the monthly high and hitting a fresh weekly low during Thursday’s Asian session. Meanwhile, declining US bond yields drag the US Dollar away from the April 2025 high, touched after Wednesday's hot US CPI, helping limit losses for the currency pair.

USD/JPY slides back below 158.00 as USD reverses post-CPI gains

USD/JPY extends the previous day's pullback from a three-week high, attracting follow-through selling and sliding below 158.00 during Thursday's Asian session. Traders remain on high alert amid speculation that authorities will step in to prop up the Japanese Yen. The US Dollar, meanwhile, reverses Wednesday's hot CPI-led gains to April 2025 highs as US bond yields retreat on China bond-buying talk, further pressuring the pair.

Gold sticks to gains below $4,150 on weak USD; bulls seem hesitant amid Fed hike bets

Gold clings to modest intraday gains through the early European session amid a broadly weaker US Dollar, snapping a three-day losing streak to a one-week low set on Wednesday. The initial aggressive market reaction to hot US consumer inflation figures faded quickly amid expectations that the Fed may not rush to raise interest rates immediately. This led to a further decline in US bond yields, prompting some follow-through USD profit-taking and supporting the non-yielding bullion.

Bitcoin, XRP analyst sentiment jumps as Solana bulls hit 91%: CryptoQuant

Analyst sentiment on Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, BNB and XRP has flipped bullish since July, as the top five cryptocurrencies recovered faster and more strongly than during the 2022-2023 market phase, according to CryptoQuant.

US Sept Retail Sales and PPI in focus along with corporate earnings
Asia market update: Bond traders ignore US CPI and focus on equity weakness and AI-credit concerns ahead of TSMC earnings; Kospi circuit breaker triggered for the first time since Jul; CHF and JPY rise on safe-haven demand; US Sept Retail Sales & PPI in focus along with corporate earnings. - Chinese shipping firms collapse amid capacity concerns.
Has Bitcoin really escaped the macro forces it was built to fight?
Over 17 years ago, Satoshi Nakamoto designed Bitcoin (BTC) on the back of a global financial crisis as an alternative to the global monetary system outside the control of central banks, governments and traditional intermediaries. This raises a key question: has Bitcoin really become independent of the macroeconomic forces it was built to challenge?