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EUR/USD Price Forecast: Remains above 1.1700 near 50-day EMA

  • EUR/USD may test the primary resistance at the nine-day EMA of 1.1730
  • The 14-day Relative Strength Index is near 50, indicating a lack of strong direction.
  • The lower ascending channel boundary is acting as immediate support, near the 50-day EMA at 1.1697.

EUR/USD inches higher after three days of losses, trading around 1.1710 during the Asian hours on Thursday. The daily chart technical analysis indicates a potential for a bearish reversal as the pair is positioned on the lower boundary of the ascending channel pattern.

The EUR/USD pair is holding just above the 50-day Exponential Moving average (EMA) but still capped by the nine-day EMA, which keeps the near-term tone broadly neutral with a slight bullish tilt. The price hovering between these averages suggests consolidation after recent gains, while the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) around 50 hints at balanced momentum rather than a strongly directional move.

On the upside, the primary barrier lies at the nine-day EMA of 1.1730, followed by the 12-week high of 1.1849, reached on April 17. A break above this level would support the pair to test the upper boundary of the ascending channel around 1.2040. Further advances above the channel would lead the pair to explore the region around 1.2082, the highest since June 2021, reached on January 27.

The EUR/USD pair is positioned on the lower ascending channel boundary, aligned with the 50-day EMA at 1.1697. Further declines will put downward pressure on the pair to navigate the region around the nine-month low of 1.1411, recorded on March 13.

EUR/USD: Daily Chart

(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool.)

Euro Price Today

The table below shows the percentage change of Euro (EUR) against listed major currencies today. Euro was the strongest against the New Zealand Dollar.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD-0.04%-0.05%-0.03%-0.01%0.02%0.06%-0.06%
EUR0.04%-0.03%0.00%0.03%0.00%0.06%-0.02%
GBP0.05%0.03%0.02%0.06%0.06%0.09%0.03%
JPY0.03%0.00%-0.02%-0.01%0.03%0.06%-0.05%
CAD0.01%-0.03%-0.06%0.00%0.04%0.06%0.00%
AUD-0.02%0.00%-0.06%-0.03%-0.04%0.05%-0.00%
NZD-0.06%-0.06%-0.09%-0.06%-0.06%-0.05%-0.07%
CHF0.06%0.02%-0.03%0.05%-0.00%0.00%0.07%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Euro from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent EUR (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

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