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EUR/USD Price Analysis: Loses momentum below the mid-1.0500s, further downside looks favorable

  • EUR/USD trades in negative territory for three straight days on Thursday.
  • The pair holds below the key 100-hour EMA; the RSI indicator is located in bearish territory under 50.
  • The first resistance level will emerge at 1.0582; 1.0522 acts as an initial support level.

The EUR/USD pair loses traction near 1.0545 during the early European session on Thursday. The major pair faces some sell-off on the firmer US Dollar (USD) and the downbeat Eurozone economic data. Furthermore, recent tensions in the Middle East have also prompted worries about the region's dwindling growth prospects. Market players await the European Central Bank (ECB) interest rate decision on Thursday, which is expected to hold the rate unchanged at its October meeting.

Technically, the EUR/USD pair's downward bias remains intact as the major pair holds below the key 100-hour Exponential Moving Average (EMA) on the four-hour chart. Additionally, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is located in bearish territory under 50, suggesting the path of least resistance is to the downside.

The immediate upside barrier to watch is near the 100-EMA at 1.0582. The key resistance level is seen at the 1.0600-1.0606 region, representing a high of October 25 and a psychological round mark. A decisive break above the latter will see a rally to the upper boundary of Bollinger Band at 1.0685, en route to a high of September 20 at 1.0735.

On the flip side, the initial support level for EUR/USD is located at 1.0522. The mentioned level is the confluence of a lower limit of the Bollinger Band and a low of October 18. Further south, a round figure at 1.0500 will be the next downside stop. A breach of the latter will see a drop to 1.0450 (a low of October 4).

EUR/USD four-hour chart

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price1.0543
Today Daily Change-0.0024
Today Daily Change %-0.23
Today daily open1.0567
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.0561
Daily SMA501.0672
Daily SMA1001.0823
Daily SMA2001.0816
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.0607
Previous Daily Low1.0566
Previous Weekly High1.0617
Previous Weekly Low1.0511
Previous Monthly High1.0882
Previous Monthly Low1.0488
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.0581
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.0591
Daily Pivot Point S11.0553
Daily Pivot Point S21.0539
Daily Pivot Point S31.0512
Daily Pivot Point R11.0594
Daily Pivot Point R21.0621
Daily Pivot Point R31.0635

Author

Lallalit Srijandorn

Lallalit Srijandorn is a Parisian at heart. She has lived in France since 2019 and now becomes a digital entrepreneur based in Paris and Bangkok.

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