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EUR/JPY Price Forecast: Slips below 178.50 within oversold territory

  • EUR/JPY could test the lower boundary of the descending channel around 177.70.
  • The 14-day Relative Strength Index at 23.09 indicates oversold conditions.
  • The currency cross could find an initial barrier at the nine-day EMA of 182.00.

EUR/JPY loses ground for the second consecutive day, trading around 178.40 during the Asian hours on Tuesday. Technical analysis of the daily chart indicates the currency cross remains within the descending channel pattern, signalling a bearish bias.

The EUR/JPY cross maintains a bearish near-term tone as it remains below both the nine- and 50-period Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs). The pair is extending its pullback from recent highs, and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 23.09 sits in oversold territory, hinting that while downside momentum is stretched, sellers still dominate below the clustered EMAs.

The EUR/JPY cross is positioned slightly above the newly formed support level at the lower boundary of the descending channel around 177.70. A break below the channel would strengthen the bearish bias and put downward pressure on the cross as it navigates the region around the 10-month low of 175.70, recorded in November 2025.

On the upside, the EUR/JPY cross could rebound toward the nine-day EMA of 182.00, followed by the 50-day EMA of 184.13. Further resistance lies at the upper boundary of the descending channel around 185.70, followed by the all-time high of 187.95 set on April 17.

Chart Analysis EUR/JPY

(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool. Know more.)

Euro Price Today

The table below shows the percentage change of Euro (EUR) against listed major currencies today. Euro was the weakest against the Japanese Yen.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD-0.04%0.00%-0.54%-0.15%0.02%0.27%-0.07%
EUR0.04%0.05%-0.52%-0.09%0.06%0.32%-0.03%
GBP-0.01%-0.05%-0.56%-0.15%0.01%0.28%-0.07%
JPY0.54%0.52%0.56%0.42%0.59%0.86%0.51%
CAD0.15%0.09%0.15%-0.42%0.16%0.43%0.09%
AUD-0.02%-0.06%-0.01%-0.59%-0.16%0.27%-0.08%
NZD-0.27%-0.32%-0.28%-0.86%-0.43%-0.27%-0.34%
CHF0.07%0.03%0.07%-0.51%-0.09%0.08%0.34%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Euro from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent EUR (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

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