|

EUR/JPY Price Analysis: Failure at 160.00 paints bearish bias as evening-star emerges

  • EUR/JPY falls as 'evening star' pattern suggests potential reversal.
  • Dip below 160.00 and Tenkan-Sen (159.52) indicates momentum shift; 159.00 next support with further declines might eyeing Ichimoku Cloud top.
  • Recovery above Tenkan-Sen may target 160.00 again, with 161.87 as potential high.

The EUR/JPY drops from around weekly highs reached on Monday at 160.27 and forms a three-candle ‘evening star’ chart pattern, that opens the door for further losses. At the time of writing, the cross-pair exchanges hands at 159.05, down 0.42%.

The bullish bias is at risk with the pair sliding below crucial support levels. As sellers pushed the exchange rate below the 160.00 figure and the Tenkan-Sen level at 159.52, the first support emerging is 159.00, followed by the top of the Ichimoku Cloud (Kumo) at 158.73. If those two levels are cleared, the next support emerges at the confluence of a support trendline, the Senkou Span B and the Kijun Sen, at around 158.40/48.

On the other hand, if EUR/JPY buyers lift the exchange rate towards the Tenkan-Sen, that could open the door to challenge the 160.00 psychological level. A breach of the latter will expose the current year-to-date (YTD) high at 161.87.

EUR/JPY Price Action – Daily Chart

EUR/JPY Key Technical Levels

EUR/JPY

Overview
Today last price159.02
Today Daily Change-0.66
Today Daily Change %-0.41
Today daily open159.68
 
Trends
Daily SMA20160.04
Daily SMA50158.5
Daily SMA100159.01
Daily SMA200156.79
 
Levels
Previous Daily High160.28
Previous Daily Low159.38
Previous Weekly High160.84
Previous Weekly Low158.08
Previous Monthly High161.87
Previous Monthly Low155.07
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%159.72
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%159.94
Daily Pivot Point S1159.29
Daily Pivot Point S2158.89
Daily Pivot Point S3158.4
Daily Pivot Point R1160.18
Daily Pivot Point R2160.67
Daily Pivot Point R3161.07

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD remains below 0.7000 amid light trading

AUD/USD fills a modest bearish gap on Monday, but remains below 0.7000 in the Asian session amid holiday-thinned liquidity. The US Dollar attempts a bounce even as US bond yields pull back from multi-year highs, limiting the pair. Moreover, diminishing odds of another RBA rate hike in November cap the Aussie.

USD/JPY hovers above 158.00 amid Japan/ US holiday

USD/JPY extends its range-bound price action into a new week, trading above 158.00 as bulls remain on high alert amid speculation that authorities will step in to prop up the Japanese Yen. Meanwhile, softer US bond yields keep US Dollar bulls on the back foot and cap the pair's upside. However, geopolitical uncertainties could limit losses for the safe-haven buck amid thin liquidity due to a holiday in Japan and the US.

Gold remains vulnerable below $4,200 on Fed hike bets

Gold is under mild selling pressure on Monday, trading at around $4,170. The US Dollar advances modestly in thin trading, supported by bets that the Federal Reserve will hike rates at least one more time before year-end.

Bitcoin struggles as ETF outflows, geopolitical uncertainty weigh

Bitcoin hovers around $83,600 on Monday after a 3.1% correction last week. US-listed spot ETFs recorded an outflow of $681.10 million last week, snapping the three-week inflow streak. Geopolitical uncertainty and mixed signals keep investors cautious.

The week ahead: A critical week as earnings and CPI test market

The Oil price is relatively stable this morning, and US and European stock markets are poised to open higher, as risk sentiment shrugs off an escalation in the Middle East and concerns about rising bond yields.

Has Bitcoin really escaped the macro forces it was built to fight?
Over 17 years ago, Satoshi Nakamoto designed Bitcoin (BTC) on the back of a global financial crisis as an alternative to the global monetary system outside the control of central banks, governments and traditional intermediaries. This raises a key question: has Bitcoin really become independent of the macroeconomic forces it was built to challenge?