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Asian stocks trade lower amid fragile Iran ceasefire, Japan’s Nikkei slips

Most Asian equities trade in negative territory on Thursday as traders remain cautious about whether a fragile two-week ceasefire between the United States and ‌Iran would hold.

US President Donald Trump said on Thursday that US forces will remain deployed around Iran until a final agreement is fully implemented. Earlier Thursday, Reuters reported that the ceasefire deal appeared to be on thin ice, as Israel continued its parallel war against the Iran-aligned militia Hezbollah in Lebanon. 

Iranian officials stated that both Israel and the US had breached the terms of the ceasefire deal, adding that proceeding with peace talks would be “unreasonable.”

The Nikkei 225, Japan’s benchmark, tumbles by 0.81% to 55,865. Bank of Japan (BoJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda said that real interest rates are clearly negative and keeping the country's financial conditions accommodative, Reuters reported on Thursday.

Meanwhile, South Korean stock, the benchmark KOSPI, fell by 1.73% to 5,770 as traders moved to secure profits, particularly in heavyweight technology stocks.

China and Hong Kong stock markets lost momentum on Thursday, with the SHANGHAI, China’s main stock market index, slumping by 0.88% to 3,960. The Hong Kong Stock Exchange declined by 0.27% to 25,822. 

India’s Nifty50 was down 0.55% to trade at 23,850 on Thursday. In Taiwan, the Taiex decreased 0.20% to 34,700. Other markets in Southeast Asia were lower.  

Asian stocks FAQs

Asia contributes around 70% of global economic growth and hosts several key stock market indices. Among the region’s developed economies, the Japanese Nikkei – which represents 225 companies on the Tokyo stock exchange – and the South Korean Kospi stand out. China has three important indices: the Hong Kong Hang Seng, the Shanghai Composite and the Shenzhen Composite. As a big emerging economy, Indian equities are also catching the attention of investors, who increasingly invest in companies in the Sensex and Nifty indices.

Asia’s main economies are different, and each has specific sectors to pay attention to. Technology companies dominate in indices in Japan, South Korea, and increasingly, China. Financial services are leading stock markets such as Hong Kong or Singapore, considered key hubs for the sector. Manufacturing is also big in China and Japan, with a strong focus on automobile production or electronics. The growing middle class in countries like China and India is also giving more and more prominence to companies focused on retail and e-commerce.

Many different factors drive Asian stock market indices, but the main factor behind their performance is the aggregate results of the component companies revealed in their quarterly and annual earnings reports. The economic fundamentals of each country, as well as their central bank decisions or their government’s fiscal policies, are also important factors. More broadly, political stability, technological progress or the rule of law can also impact equity markets. The performance of US equity indices is also a factor as, more often than not, Asian markets take the lead from Wall Street stocks overnight. Finally, the broader risk sentiment in markets also plays a role as equities are considered a risky investment compared to other investment options such as fixed-income securities.

Investing in equities is risky by itself, but investing in Asian stocks comes along with region-specific risks to be taken into account. Asian countries have a wide range of political systems, from full democracies to dictatorships, so their political stability, transparency, rule of law or corporate governance requirements may diverge considerably. Geopolitical events such as trade disputes or territorial conflicts can lead to volatility in stock markets, as can natural disasters. Moreover, currency fluctuations can also have an impact on the valuation of Asian stock markets. This is particularly true in export-oriented economies, which tend to suffer from a stronger currency and benefit from a weaker one as their products become cheaper abroad.

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Lallalit Srijandorn

Lallalit Srijandorn is a Parisian at heart. She has lived in France since 2019 and now becomes a digital entrepreneur based in Paris and Bangkok.

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