Raj Ian G Thijm, MBA
Raj Time and Cycles
In my last 6/10 blogpost, "I was looking for a 6/10 High+/-2 of the month, which was the 6/8 High"
From the Raj T&C 6/13 Weekend Email: "The Dominant Cycle 6/10 cycle High arrived 2 days earlier at the 6/8H and is looking for a straight down decline into 6/17 Low, then a sharp rally into 6/22 High at the 2100-05 SPX area and then another sharp decline into 6/24 Low at 2025-30 SPX"
Actual: From the 6/8 High, we saw a straight down decline into 6/16 Low, 1 day earlier, at 2050.37 SPX, reversed and saw a sharp rally into 6/23 High, 1 day later, at 2113.32 SPX, only to see a sharp reversal back lower to a 6/24 Low at 2032.57 SPX so far.
The Golden ratio fixed Cycle suggests a 6/25 Low, supporting the dominant cycle.
Golden ratio 1618 CD Cycle of Lows: 10/10/02L 1616- 03/14/07L - 1618- 08/20/11L-1614- 01/20/16L
Golden ratio 1618 CD Cycle of Lows: 10/08/98L-1616- 03/12/03L -1618- 08/16/07L-1618 X 2 = 06/25/16L?
What's next: The dominant cycle is looking for a 6/24-27 swing Low at the 6/27 Geometric Time CIT, chop around and then start a new rally phase.
Trading in Stocks, ETF, Options and Futures involve risks. Trade at your own Risk. Do your own homework. The contents of this blog are for general information and educational purposes only and should not be construed as an investment advice strategy. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD flirts with daily highs, retargets 1.1900
EUR/USD regains upside traction, returning to the 1.1880 zone and refocusing its attention to the key 1.1900 barrier. The pair’s slight gains comes against the backdrop of a humble decline in the US Dollar as investors continue to assess the latest US CPI readings and the potential Fed’s rate path.
GBP/USD remains well bid around 1.3650
GBP/USD maintains its upside momentum in place, hovering around daily highs near 1.3650 and setting aside part of the recent three-day drop. Cable’s improved sentiment comes on the back of the Greenback’s irresolute price action, while recent hawkish comments from the BoE’s Pill also collaborate with the uptick.
USD/JPY edges up above 153.50 with all eyes on US CPI figures
USD/JPY appreciates above 153.00 but remains on track for a 2.4% weekly loss. Trading volumes remain subdued on Friday, ahead of the IS CPI release. The Yen remains supported by hopes of a stable government and calls for further BoJ tightening.
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD: Yes, the US economy is resilient – No, that won’t save the US Dollar Premium
Some impressive US data should have resulted in a much stronger USD. Well, it didn’t happen. The EUR/USD pair closed a third consecutive week little changed, a handful of pips above the 1.1800 mark.
Gold: Metals remain vulnerable to broad market mood Premium
Gold (XAU/USD) started the week on a bullish note and climbed above $5,000 before declining sharply and erasing its weekly gains on Thursday, only to recover heading into the weekend.
GBP/USD: Pound Sterling remains below 1.3700 ahead of UK inflation test Premium
The Pound Sterling (GBP) failed to resist at higher levels against the US Dollar (USD), but buyers held their ground amid a US data-busy blockbuster week.
Bitcoin: BTC bears aren’t done yet
Bitcoin (BTC) price slips below $67,000 at the time of writing on Friday, remaining under pressure and extending losses of nearly 5% so far this week.
US Dollar: Big in Japan Premium
The US Dollar (USD) resumed its yearly downtrend this week, slipping back to two-week troughs just to bounce back a tad in the second half of the week.
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