Forex Analysis
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Editors’ Picks
GBP/USD rises above 1.3300 after UK Retail Sales data
GBP/USD trades with a positive bias for the third straight day on Friday and hovers above the 1.3300 mark in the European morning on Friday. The data from the UK showed that Retail Sales rose at a stronger pace than expected in August, supporting Pound Sterling.
USD/JPY keeps BoJ-led losses below 142.50, Ueda's presser eyed
USD/JPY remains in the red below 142.50 after the Bank of Japan announced on Friday that it maintained the short-term rate target in the range of 0.15%-0.25%, as widely expected. Governor Ueda's press conference is next in focus.
FXS SIGNALS
Deeper dive
Eurozone: Towards structurally higher savings
The household savings rate in France has risen further, up from 17.6% of households’ gross disposable income (GDI) in Q1 2024 to 17.9% in Q2 2024, according to the INSEE, i.e. 1 point more in a year.
Faster route to ‘normality’
Over the summer, the focus of the Fed has shifted from a singular emphasis on curbing inflation to now discussing the risk of causing significant damage to the labour market.
From fear of inflation to fear of slowdown
We agree with markets that slowing US inflation over the summer has cleared the path for a faster "normalisation" of policy rates in the US. Especially the broader services price pressures have eased.
upcoming calendar events
REAL-TIME RATES
CRYPTO KEYS
Bitcoin is showing rising correlation with the S&P 500
Bitcoin and the crypto market have been in an uptrend since Wednesday following the Federal Reserve's decision to cut interest rates by 50 basis points. Bitcoin is up nearly 3% in the past 24 hours, rising briefly above the $63,000 level for the first time in three weeks.
Ethereum rallies over 6% following decision to split Pectra upgrade into two phases
In its Consensus Layer Call on Thursday, Ethereum developers decided to split the upcoming Pectra upgrade into two batches. The decision follows concerns about potential risks in shipping the previously approved series of Ethereum improvement proposals.
Consensys case against SEC over Ethereum dismissed by Texas court
Consensys announced dismissal of a case it filed against the SEC in April about the agency's alleged actions against Ethereum. Judge Reed O'Connor of the Northern District of Texas dismissed the case on Thursday. Consensys claims that the court failed to examine the "merits" of its claim against the SEC.