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The week ahead

How likely is a Grexit?

I can't remember how many times the market has screamed "wolf! wolf!" when referring to a Grexit, during the last 3 years. But ever since Syriza party got over the government, the risk of a Greece default not only has become real, but grew exponentially. The new government has quite a naïve view of the economic world where it stands, as PM Tsipras has steadily worked unilaterally to dismantle the austerity measures imposed by the Troika...

EUR/USD Forecast: favored by a weaker USD

After falling down to 1.0519 on Monday, the EUR/USD pair has been steadily rising this week, reaching on Friday a high of 1.0847, from...

EUR/USD… resilience… or innocence?

The single currency staged a nice comeback from Monday's troughs in the area of 1.0500 the figure to today's tops in the mid−1.0800s, managing...

Playing a waiting game

Calm before the storm?... The coming week is a relatively quiet one for economic data and events. Nevertheless, ongoing uncertainties in a number of major markets could provide an impetus to market volatility. Speculation over the outcome of the UK election and the potential timing...

March CPI Moves in Support of Fed Liftoff in 3Q15

CPI inflation in March was a welcome surprise, with both headline and core prices increasing 0.2% for the month. Although headline inflation remained in negative YoY territory at −0.02%, core inflation accelerated for the third consecutive month to 1.8%. This is good news for the Fed...

Dollar generally higher despite latest decline

Pair Average levels
1 Week 1 Month 1 Quarter
EURUSD 1.0794 1.0637 1.0514
GBPUSD 8.8000 7.9000 5.4149
USDJPY 118.68 120.01 121.79
USDCHF 0.9544 0.9751 0.9983
AUDUSD 0.7743 0.7607 0.7532
Pair Average levels
1 Week 1 Month 1 Quarter
USDCAD 1.2022 1.2232 1.2602
NZDUSD 0.7693 0.7549 0.7342
GBPJPY 177.82 175.85 178.80
EURJPY 128.16 127.81 127.32
EURGBP 0.7138 0.7086 0.7120

EUR/USD upside limited: sentiment favors the downside, with the investors aiming for a retest of the year low around 1.0460.

GBP/USD little upward scope, seen falling in term: 1.52/55 is tops in case of advances, 1.4600 expected in a 3 month view.

USD/JPY strongly bullish: heading back above 120.00, with hopes on advances up to 125.00.

AUD/USD no changes, bears still rule: Aussie is seen resuming the downside towards 0.7500 after some consolidation below the 0.8000 level.

EUR/JPY back to consolidative mode: the EUR/JPY is seen range bound below 130.00 over the next weeks, as USD continues to gather all of the attention.

Forex Live Analysis Room with Dale Pinkert

From Traders to Traders in Live Analysis

The #FXroom was busy sharing ideas charts and strategies in community. If you are not in the FXroom, you are not a Forex trader! Barbara Rockefeller @rockefellerfx: EUR/USD will overshoot parity, then 0.9250; and Brian Twomey @authorbtwomey: Where is the EUR/USD bottom? 1.0100-1.0200

EUR/USD will overshoot parity, then 0.9250

1.0100 to 1.0200 are the EUR/USD bottom

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What we're reading

What we're reading

Want to know what our Content Team has read this week in the media?

  • Tumbling Interest Rates in Europe Leaves Some Banks Owing Money on Loans to Borrowers (Wall Street Journal)
  • Japan just passed China as the biggest US creditor for the first time since 2008 (Business Insider)
  • Stan Druckenmiller: Zero-Interest Rates Unnecessary Now (Bloomberg)
  • Which country has the least sexist banknotes? (BBC News)

Check the articles

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Most Popular Content

  1. 3 Drivers for a Stronger Dollar Next Week
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  2. AUD/USD breaks 0.77 ahead of Aus jobs, USD weakness main driver
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  3. How likely is a Grexit?
     by FXStreet Apr 17, 14:15 GMT
  4. EUR/USD prints highs near 1.0700
     by FXStreet Apr 15, 17:31 GMT
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  1. Fixed Income market thinks Fed is a wuss
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     by FXStreet Apr 17, 14:15 GMT
  3. Fixed income market key to USD's future
     by Rockefeller Treasury Services, Inc. Apr 16, 12:19 GMT
  4. March CPI Moves in Support of Fed Liftoff in 3Q15
     by BBVA Bancomer Apr 17, 16:53 GMT
  5. EURUSD drops after US CPI
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