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Tariffs are not only inflationary for a nation but also risk undermining the trust and credibility that go hand in hand with the responsibility of being the leading nation in the free world and controlling the world’s reserve currency.
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A few months ago I started to notice something odd. The price of natural hazelnuts had more or less doubled. Shortly after, they became surprisingly hard to find, at least in supermarkets where they had always been readily available.
Every bull market creates its own regrets. Missed entries. Delayed conviction. Capital deployed just late enough to feel the move, but not profit from it.
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Cryptocurrencies
Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple prices consolidated on Monday after correcting by nearly 9%, 8%, and 10% in the previous week, respectively. BTC is hovering around $70,000, while ETH and XRP are facing rejection at key levels. Traders should be cautious: despite recent stabilization, upside recovery for these top three cryptocurrencies is capped as the broader trend remains bearish.
Ethereum had one of its sharpest historic declines over the past 10 days, shedding 40% of its value and briefly sliding below $2,000. The dip also saw ETH move below its realized price, or the average cost basis of investors — an occurrence that has historically accelerated selling pressure as investors cut losses.
The crypto market crash since October isn't down to a single factor but a combination of several, according to Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan. In a note to investors on Friday, Hougan outlined six key factors that potentially contributed to the crash that pushed down nearly every top crypto by more than 50% from prices seen over four months ago.
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Stocks
It's not looking good out there for markets this week. Poor US jobs numbers contributed to a spreading fear that the US labor market is faltering. US JOLTS Job Openings data for December fell from 6.9 million in November to 6.5 million.
Weekly Forecast
The EUR/USD pair lost additional ground in the first week of February, settling at around 1.1820. The reversal lost momentum after the pair peaked at 1.2082 in January, its highest since mid-2021.
The Pound Sterling (GBP) changed course against the US Dollar (USD), with GBP/USD giving up nearly 200 pips in a dramatic correction.
Bitcoin (BTC) price recovers slightly, trading at $65,000 at the time of writing on Friday, after reaching a low of $60,000 during the early Asian trading session. The Crypto King remained under pressure so far this week, posting three consecutive weeks of losses exceeding 30%.
Finally, the recent steep leg lower in the US Dollar (USD) has found some respite. Indeed, the US Dollar Index (DXY) has managed to regain some composure and put further distance from the yearly lows near 95.50 recorded in late January, reaching the boundaries of the 98.00 yardstick toward the end of the week.




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