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GBP/USD bullish outlook prevails above 1.3600, UK GDP data looms
The GBP/USD pair gains ground near 1.3635, snapping the two-day losing streak during the early European session on Thursday. The preliminary reading of UK Gross Domestic Product for the fourth quarter will be closely watched later on Thursday. The UK economy is estimated to grow 0.2% QoQ in Q4, versus 0.1% in Q1.
EUR/USD weakens as US jobs data trims Fed rate cut bets
The EUR/USD pair trades in negative territory for the third consecutive day near 1.1860 during the early European session on Thursday. Traders will keep an eye on the US weekly Initial Jobless Claims data. On Friday, the attention will shift to the US Consumer Price Index inflation report.
FXS SIGNALS
Deeper dive
Are you (hazel) nuts?
A few months ago I started to notice something odd. The price of natural hazelnuts had more or less doubled. Shortly after, they became surprisingly hard to find, at least in supermarkets where they had always been readily available.
Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair
We know from our many client discussions that there appears to be at least some degree of comfort with a Warsh led Fed vs. the other choices.
The Fed is heading for an extended pause, unlike the Bank of Japan
The FOMC decided to keep interest rates steady at 3.5% – 3.75% at its 27–28 January meeting, following three consecutive rate cuts at the end of 2025.
upcoming calendar events
REAL-TIME RATES
CRYPTO KEYS
Sonic Labs’ vertical integration fuels recovery in S token
Sonic, previously Fantom (FTM), is extending its recovery trade at $0.048 at the time of writing, after rebounding by over 12% the previous day. The recovery thesis’ strengths lie in the optimism surrounding Sonic Labs’ Wednesday announcement to shift to a vertically integrated model, aimed at boosting S token utility.
Midnight Price Forecast: NIGHT warms up as Hoskinson reveals March mainnet release
Midnight edges higher by 2% at press time on Thursday, driven by its founder announcing the mainnet release by late March at the Consensus 2026 event. The technical outlook for Midnight highlights a potential bottom formation that could ignite the next bullish trend.
Cardano Price Forecast: ADA eyes short-term rebound as derivatives sentiment improves
Cardano (ADA) is trading at $0.257 at the time of writing on Thursday, after slipping more than 4% so far this week. Derivatives sentiment improves as ADA’s funding rates turn positive alongside rising long bets among traders.