When is Aussie CPI and how could it affect AUD/USD?

The Australian GPI for the  Q1 will be released at 0130GMT, ( thats 11:30am Syd/9:30am Sing/HK). 'Headline' inflation is expected is +0.5% q/q, prior was +0.6%. For y/y, expected 2.0%, prior 1.9%.

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The US benchmark Treasury yield jumped to 2.99% on Monday pushing the US Dollar higher across the board.

The Eurozone manufacturing PMI fell less than expected in April while services activity increased pushing the composite PMI to remain flat over the month in April and beating the market forecast of PMI sliding lower.

The US Treasuries are the main market topic on Monday leaving the US macro indicators in the second wave of interest including manufacturing activity gauge for Chicago Fed regional district that is expected to decelerate in March while the US existing home sales are seen rising.

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Yohay Elam

The EUR/USD is stable in the wake of a new week, but its prospects have not improved. The Technical Confluences Indicator shows that stronger clusters of resistance remain to the upside while fewer confluence zones await on the downside.

The pair is struggling around 1.2280, where we see congestion of the Simple Moving Average 5-15m, the SMA50-15m, the Fibonacci 61.8% one-month, the Bolinger Band 15m-Upper (Stdv. 2.2), the BB 1h-Middle, the SMA-5-1hv, the Fibo 23.6%, and the SMA10-1h.

If the pair indeed drops, support is found around 1.2215, the meeting point of the Pivot Point one-week S1 and the one-month low. Even lower, at 1.2155, we find the Pivot Point one-month S1 and the Pivot Point one-week S2.

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