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Currencies Forecast Poll


The Forex Forecast Poll is a currency sentiment tool that highlights our selected experts' near and medium term mood and calculates trends according to Friday's 15:00 GMT price. The #FXpoll is not to be taken as signal or as final target, but as an exchange rates heat map of where sentiment and expectations are going.

Pair Average levels
1 Week 1 Month 1 Quarter
EURUSD 1.2991 1.2958 1.2887
GBPUSD 1.6422 1.6474 1.6518
USDJPY 106.39 106.32 108.12
USDCHF 0.9339 0.9354 0.9499
AUDUSD 0.9049 0.9091 0.8973
Pair Average levels
1 Week 1 Month 1 Quarter
USDCAD 1.1086 1.1082 1.1176
NZDUSD 0.8173 0.8217 0.8262
GBPJPY 174.56 175.12 178.06
EURJPY 138.90 138.91 140.08
EURGBP 0.7917 0.7871 0.7797

*Updated on Fridays at 15:00*

September 15 to 19, 2014

EURUSD 1 Week 1 Month 1 Quarter 1 Week 1 Month 1 Quarter
Levels Trend
Fri, Sep 12 2014, 17:00 GMT
Aayush Jindal 1.2980 1.2800 1.2650 Sideways Bearish Bearish
Alberto Muñoz, PhD 1.2800 1.2650 1.2280 Bearish Bearish Bearish
Anthony Wu, CFA 1.3000 1.2700 1.2700 Bullish Bearish Bearish
ANZ FX Strategy Team 1.3200 - 1.3200 Bullish - Bullish
BBVA Bancomer Team - 1.3300 1.3200 - Bullish Bullish
BNP Paribas Team - 1.3200 1.3200 - Bullish Bullish
Claudiu Cazacu 1.2780 1.2700 1.2600 Bearish Bearish Bearish
Commerzbank Analyst Team - 1.3100 1.3030 - Bullish Bullish
Danske Research Team - - 1.2700 - - Bearish
GFM Research Private Limited - 1.2830 1.2830 - Bearish Bearish
Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research - 1.3200 1.2900 - Bullish Sideways
Gonçalo Moreira, CMT 1.3150 1.3550 1.3400 Bullish Bullish Bullish
Growth Aces Research Team 1.2980 1.3110 1.3200 Sideways Bullish Bullish
HSBC Global Research Team - - 1.2900 - - Sideways
Ilian Yotov 1.2750 1.2750 1.2500 Bearish Bearish Bearish
J.P. Morgan Global FX Strategy 1.3400 - 1.3000 Bullish - Sideways
Jameel Ahmad 1.2800 1.2700 1.3000 Bearish Bearish Sideways
Jeff Langin 1.2800 - - Bearish - -
Jim Devonport 1.2950 1.2810 1.2700 Sideways Bearish Bearish
Mauricio Carrillo 1.3200 1.3000 1.2770 Bullish Bullish Bearish
Neal Gilbert 1.2880 1.3000 1.3000 Bearish Bullish Sideways
Nenad Kerkez 1.2995 - - Bullish - -
Rabobank Financial Markets Research Team - 1.3000 1.2800 - Bullish Bearish
RBC Economic Research Team - 1.3300 1.3000 - Bullish Sideways
RBS Team - 1.3175 1.2700 - Bullish Bearish
Richard Perry 1.2960 1.3000 1.2750 Sideways Bullish Bearish
Ross Yamashita 1.2900 1.2800 1.2500 Sideways Bearish Bearish
Scotiabank FX Strategy Team 1.3400 - 1.3200 Bullish - Bullish
Swissquote Bank Research Team 1.2900 1.2750 1.2600 Sideways Bearish Bearish
Tamer Elzein 1.2800 1.2940 1.3420 Bearish Sideways Bullish
TD Securities Research Team - 1.3000 1.2900 - Bullish Sideways
Todd Gordon 1.2950 1.3000 - Sideways Bullish -
UniCredit Research 1.3600 - 1.3300 Bullish - Bullish
Valeria Bednarik 1.2740 1.2610 1.2300 Bearish Bearish Bearish
Vasilis Tsaprounis 1.2850 1.2700 1.2700 Bearish Bearish Bearish
Wells Fargo Research Team - 1.3300 1.3300 - Bullish Bullish
Westpac Institutional Bank Team - - 1.3100 - - Bullish
Yohay Elam 1.3000 1.2800 1.2700 Bullish Bearish Bearish
Average 1.2991 1.2958 1.2887 Bullish Sideways Sideways

EURUSD Comments:

  • Aayush Jindal:

    Euro might fail around 1.30 for one more leg lower

  • Claudiu Cazacu:

    Euro may get better in the first few days of the week, but is more likely to give ground to a stronger dolar towards Friday, after Fed.

  • Growth Aces Research Team:

    We keep our medium-term scenario of gradual recovery of the EUR/USD. This week investors will be eyeing FOMC meeting. We expect some changes in the statement and confirmation that tapering will end in October. The macroeconomic calendar includes German ZEW, US CPI and housing data. An important event will be the French confidence vote for the recently reshuffled goverment on September 16.

  • Ilian Yotov:

    With the Fed's QE program on track to end in the next few months and the ECB ready to start QE in October, the EUR should continue its gring lower against the USD.

  • Jameel Ahmad:

    Resistance at 1.2960 is currently preventing entry to 1.30. The Fed announcing QE conclusion in October should encourage USD strength through September.

  • Nenad Kerkez:

    EURUSD should be sold higher

  • Richard Perry:

    The outlook is extemely bearish but remains near term deeply oversold, which could induce a technical rally towards $1.3000

  • Yohay Elam:

    A lack of hawkishness from Yellen could allow the pair to recover.

Risk Disclosure

This forecast has just an informative meaning and cannot be treated as the guide to action, signal, recommendation or an offer to carry out certain trading operation. The experts of this poll expresses personal opinions and will not assume any responsibility whatsoever for the actions of the reader.We always aim for maximum accuracy, and FXStreet cannot be held responsible for inaccurate information or typos.

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