For the last few days the Australian dollar has fallen away sharply to down below the key 0.77 level from the key 0.7850 level after surging higher to a new two month high above 0.79 earlier last week. For a couple of weeks it moved back and forth from below 0.76 and up to the key resistance level at 0.7850 and higher, before the recent fall. A few weeks ago the Australian dollar made a statement and broke down strongly through the key 0.77 level which then provided significant resistance for the following few days. It was also able to enjoy some short term support around 0.7550 which propped it up and allowed it to rally strongly in the last couple of weeks. Several weeks ago the Australian dollar made repeated attempts to move up strongly to the resistance level at 0.7850 however it was rejected every time and sent back easing lower, which is why this level remains significant presently. Just prior to that towards the end of February the Australian dollar moved through the resistance at 0.7850 to reach a new four week high around 0.7900.
In the second half of January, the Australian dollar fell very sharply and break lower from the trading range that had been established roughly between 0.8050 and 0.8200. Back in mid-January it made numerous attempts at the resistance level at 0.82 only to be sent back often before finally finishing that week moving through this key level. In doing so it was able to reach a one month high near 0.83 before being sold back down again towards 0.82 as the resistance and selling activity above this level kicked in. Over the Christmas / New Year period, the Australian dollar seemed to have been content with trading in a narrow range below the resistance at 0.82, which continues to remain a key level as it is presently provides resistance. The Australian dollar experienced a disappointing November and December moving from resistance around 0.88 down to the new lows recently. For a couple of months from September through to November, the Australian dollar did well to stop the bleeding and trade within a range between 0.8650 and 0.88 after experiencing a sharp decline throughout September which saw it move from close to 0.94 down to below 0.8650.
Back at the beginning of September the Australian dollar showed some positive signs as it surged higher again bouncing off support below 0.93 and reaching a new four week high around 0.94 however that all now seems a distant memory. It seems a long way away now but the Australian dollar reached a three week high just shy of 0.9480 at the end of July after it enjoyed a solid period which saw it surge higher through the resistance level at 0.9425 to the three week around 0.9480, before easing back towards that level. The Australian dollar enjoyed a solid surge higher reaching a new eight month high above 0.95 at the end of June, only to return most of its gains in very quick time to finish out that week. Since the middle of June the Australian dollar has made repeated attempts to break through the resistance level around 0.9425, however despite its best efforts it was rejected every time as the key level continued to stand tall, even though it has allowed the small excursion to above 0.95.
Australia is “well and truly” disposed to join the China-led Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB), Prime Minister Tony Abbott said on Wednesday, but wants to know how much power Beijing would hold in the institution before a formal decision. Fairfax Media citing government sources, reported the federal cabinet has approved Australia signing a “memorandum of understanding” on joining the AIIB. Australia, South Korea and Japan are the notable regional absentees from the bank, which the United States had warned against. Despite Washington’s misgivings, U.S. allies Britain, France, Germany and Italy announced this month they would join the bank, leading the Obama administration to reassess its stance.
(Daily chart / 4 hourly chart below)
AUD/USD March 31 at 00:10 GMT 0.7652 H: 0.7751 L: 0.7633
AUD/USD Technical
During the early hours of the Asian trading session on Tuesday, the AUD/USD will be looking towards the 0.77 level and whether it can hold on to that level. Current range: trading right around 0.7650.
Further levels in both directions:
- Below: 0.7550.
- Above: 0.7850 and 0.8200.
Recommended Content
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD falls back toward 1.1150 as US Dollar rebounds
EUR/USD is falling back toward 1.1150 in European trading on Friday, reversing early gains. Risk sentiment sours and lifts the haven demand for the US Dollar, fuelling a pullback in the pair. The focus now remains on the Fedspeak for fresh directives.
GBP/USD struggles near 1.3300 amid renewed US Dollar demand
GBP/USD is paring back gains to trade near 1.3300 in the European session. The data from the UK showed that Retail Sales rose at a stronger pace than expected in August, briefly supporting Pound Sterling but the US Dollar comeback checks the pair's upside. Fedspeak eyed.
Gold hits new highs on expectations of global cuts to interest rates
Gold (XAU/USD) breaks to a new record high near $2,610 on Friday on heightened expectations that global central banks will follow the Federal Reserve (Fed) in easing policy and slashing interest rates.
Pepe price forecast: Eyes for 30% rally
Pepe’s price broke and closed above the descending trendline on Thursday, eyeing for a rally. On-chain data hints at a bullish move as PEPE’s dormant wallets are active, and the long-to-short ratio is above one.
Bank of Japan set to keep rates on hold after July’s hike shocked markets
The Bank of Japan is expected to keep its short-term interest rate target between 0.15% and 0.25% on Friday, following the conclusion of its two-day monetary policy review. The decision is set to be announced during the early Asian session.
Moneta Markets review 2024: All you need to know
VERIFIED In this review, the FXStreet team provides an independent and thorough analysis based on direct testing and real experiences with Moneta Markets – an excellent broker for novice to intermediate forex traders who want to broaden their knowledge base.