AUD/USD Forecast – Surges But Resistance at 0.74 Kicks In


The Australian dollar has enjoyed a surge higher in the last 24 hours moving from its consolidation zone just below 0.73 up to a two week high above the previous key level at 0.74.  The 0.74 level has kicked in as resistance and has sent the AUD/USD back under where it is presently trading.  Over the last month the AUD/USD has fallen sharply which culminated in a new six year low near 0.7200 towards the end of last week.  It has spent the last week trading right around the key 0.73 level after enjoying some support from around 0.7260. before its recent surge higher.  For the best part of the last few weeks the AUD/USD has traded in a narrow range between 0.74 and 0.75 with the former providing reasonable support and the latter providing stiff resistance during this time. It had been relying upon support at 0.74 and testing this level however this has now been broken and the AUD/USD has been consolidating around the 0.73 level for the last week or so. Back at the end of June the Australia dollar was starting to feel some selling pressure from the 0.77 level and it had its eyes firmly focused on the long term support level at 0.76.

In the first half of June the Australian dollar surged higher from below 0.77 up to a three week high, however it ran straight into resistance at the key 0.7850 level, which has performed this role several times this year. Throughout this time it also spent most of its time trading quite steady around the 0.7750 level whilst receiving solid support from 0.77. Over the last couple of months the resistance level at 0.7850 has played a major role and continues to place selling pressure down on the AUD/USD. Throughout this same period it has been enjoying rock solid support from the long term support level at 0.76 which has allowed it to rebound strongly back up to above 0.78 on more than one occasion.

Throughout the second half of May the Australian dollar fall sharply from a four month high above 0.8150 down to the key support level at 0.76. This level has been a significant level for a couple of months and has propped the Australian dollar up on multiple occasions. This recent price action has been a significant reversal as it wasn’t so long ago, the AUD/USD was in a solid medium term up trend having broken through the key 0.7850 level and achieved the four month high above 0.8150. For most of this year the Australian dollar has traded within a wide trading range between the support at 0.76 and resistance around 0.7850. Earlier this year in February that range was tighter with the support level higher at 0.77. Throughout this period it experienced reasonable swings back and forth between the two key levels with very few excursions beyond the levels.

(Daily chart / 4 hourly chart below)

a_20150805a_20150805_4hour

AUD/USD August 4 at 23:40 GMT   0.7380   H: 0.7428   L: 0.7263

AUD/USD Technical

Chart

During the early hours of the Asian trading session on Wednesday, the Australian dollar is easing back below 0.74 after surging higher to above 0.74.  Current range: trading right around 0.7380.

Further levels in both directions:

  • Below: 0.7250
  • Above: 0.7400, 0.7500, and 0.7850.

Recommended Content


Recommended Content

Editors’ Picks

GBP/USD resumes upside toward 1.3300 ahead of BoE rate call

GBP/USD resumes upside toward 1.3300 ahead of BoE rate call

The GBP/USD gains traction and approaches 1.3300 in European trading on Thursday, having found buyers near 1.3150. A broad US Dollar pullback and a rebound in risk sentiment offer support to the pair ahead of the BoE policy announcements. 

GBP/USD News
EUR/USD rises further toward 1.1200, focus shifts to ECB-speak

EUR/USD rises further toward 1.1200, focus shifts to ECB-speak

EUR/USD stays strongly bid toward 1.1200 in the European session on Thursday. The pair capitalizes on a renewed US Dollar retreat and an upbeat mood. Traders digest the Fed's dovish outlook, bracing for ECB-speak for fresh trading incentives. US data are also eyed. 

EUR/USD News
Gold price jumps back closer to all-time peak, $2,600 remains in sight amid fresh USD weakness

Gold price jumps back closer to all-time peak, $2,600 remains in sight amid fresh USD weakness

Gold price regains positive traction following the previous day's pullback from the all-time peak and builds on its steady intraday ascent heading into the European session on Thursday. 

Gold News
BoE expected to keep interest rate unchanged at 5% as price pressures persist

BoE expected to keep interest rate unchanged at 5% as price pressures persist

After a close call in August, the Bank of England’s September interest rate decision is keenly awaited for fresh cues on the bank’s future policy action and the pace of its bond sales.

Read more
Bitcoin surges to $62,000 mark after 50 bps Fed rate cut

Bitcoin surges to $62,000 mark after 50 bps Fed rate cut

Bitcoin and Ripple eye for a rally as they break and find support around their resistance barrier. Meanwhile, Ethereum demonstrates signs of recovery as it approaches a critical resistance level, indicating that an upward rally could be on the horizon if it successfully breaks through.

Read more
Moneta Markets review 2024: All you need to know

Moneta Markets review 2024: All you need to know

VERIFIED In this review, the FXStreet team provides an independent and thorough analysis based on direct testing and real experiences with Moneta Markets – an excellent broker for novice to intermediate forex traders who want to broaden their knowledge base.

Read More

Majors

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures