EUR/USD: European QE keeping the risk to the downside


EUR/USD Current price: 1.2261

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The EUR/USD pair trades uneventfully near its daily high of 1.2272 in an extremely quiet pre-holiday’s Monday. Despite markets are opened all through the world, investors seem to have already closed their trading desks. The slightly positive tone the pair has comes from stocks markets, raising on speculation the ECB will have to embrace QE sooner than expected. Technically the 1 hour chart shows price consolidating in a tight 30 pips range above its 20 SMA, while indicators turned flat also in positive territory. In the 4 hours chart indicators had corrected oversold readings, but are now turning lower below their midlines, in line with the dominant bearish trend. 

Support levels: 1.2220 1.2190 1.2150

Resistance levels: 1.2270 1.2300 1.2335

GBP/USD Current price: 1.5619

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The GBP/USD pair trades near its daily low of 1.5598, also confined to a tight intraday range. The Cable has been pretty much confined to 300 pips since mid November, unable to set up a clear direction, but at least resisting dollars’ strength. Short term, the 1 hour chart shows a mild bearish tone, with the price being capped below its 20 SMA and indicators aiming slightly lower below their midlines. In the 4 hours chart indicators are also biased lower below their midlines, as 20 SMA heads lower above current price. 

Support levels: 1.5590 1.5540 1.5500

Resistance levels: 1.5665 1.5700 1.5735 

USD/JPY Current price: 119.92

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The USD/JPY pair surges alongside with stocks, approaching the 120.00 figure early US hours, albeit lacking momentum due to the inexistent volume across the forex board. Short term, the 1 hour chart shows that indicators hold above their midlines, while 100 SMA approached 200 SMA both below current price at 118.45. In the 4 hours chart, the indicators had turned flat above their midlines accordingly to current market conditions. Nevertheless, the upside is favored with price expected to accelerate some once above 120.00.

Support levels: 119.65 119.30 118.90 

Resistance levels: 120.00 120.45 120.85

AUD/USD Current price: 0.8139

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The AUD/USD pair trades around its daily opening, having been as high as 0.8172 on the day. Australian dollar weakness continues to favor the downside in the pair, and so does the 1 hour chart that shows price below its 20 SMA and indicators heading lower below their midlines. In the 4 hours chart the technical picture is also bearish, with immediate support now at 0.8106, multiyear low posted last week.

Support levels: 0.8105 0.8060 0.8025

Resistance levels: 0.8170 0.8200 0.8240

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