EurCny: downtrend ending?


We are now coming to a level between Euro and Renminbi (EurCny) on which holding the Chinese currency in the portfolio seems to be uninteresting. In fact, a series of technical projections are now converging, making a rebound phase at least possible for the cross. As we can see from the chart, in March 2015 we will intercept the cyclic deadline that intercepts a primary low every 19 months, we  are on the trend line that connects the falling lows in place since 2008 and the 12-months Roc is now close to the -15% that in past has always favored at least a rise of a few months.
As all these considerations are converging all in unison, we think we should be cautious in judging   Renminbi for the coming months.
Eur/Cny

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