EUR/USD: it's all about Greece and tepid US data


EUR/USD Current price: 1.0855

View Live Chart for the EUR/USD

e
The EUR/USD surged to a daily high of 1.0899 on hopes Greece was about to reach a deal with its creditors, only to sunk down to 1.0809 on the back of EU officers reviling Greek Finance Minister Yanis Varoufakis. European ministers seem to be outraged by Varoufakis having failed to deliver once again, a serious list of economic reforms, and was accused to be an amateur, according with "a person familiar to the conversations." Spain minister De Guindos claimed that no substantial progress was made on Greece, and that was the only  official comment I was able to find so far. Anyway, earlier in the day, German IFO survey showed local confidence improved more than expected in April, with the Business Climate up to 108.60. In the US, Durable Goods Orders in March surged 4.0%, reversing previous month decline, albeit the core reading disappointed, down -0.2%. Worse than expected US data helped the EUR/USD pair recover above 1.0840, the 61.8% retracement of its latest daily decline.

Technically, the 1 hour chart shows that the price stands above its 20 SMA whilst the technical indicators bounced from their mid-lines and maintain a bullish slope. In the 4 hours chart  the technical indicators hold above their mid-lines albeit lack directional strength, whilst the price stands well above its moving averages in the 1.0740/60 region. If the pair manages to hold above 1.0845, chances are of an advance towards the 1.0900 figure, whilst a break below 1.0800 exposes it to a continued decline towards the 1.0740/60 price zone. 

Support levels: 1.0840 1.0800 1.0760 

Resistance levels: 1.0900 1.0950 1.1000

GBP/USD Current price: 1.5164

View Live Chart for the GBP/USD
g
The GBP/USD pair traded as high as 1.5145, a fresh 1-month high in the European morning, boosted by market's optimism. Having found buyers on retracements towards the 1.5100 region, the pair accelerates north after tepid US data and trades at levels not seen since early March above 1.5160. The 1 hour chart shows that following a limited correction from overbought levels, the technical indicators are heading strongly north in overbought levels whilst the price extends further above its 20 SMA. In the 4 hours chart the technical indicators also head strongly north in overbought territory, with scope now to test the 1.5200 figure, should dollar decline extends. 

Support levels: 1.5135 1.5100 1.5065

Resistance levels: 1.5165 1.5200 1.5240

USD/JPY Current price: 119.32

View Live Chart for the USD/JPY
y
The USD/JPY recovered from a daily low of 119.14 reached during the past Asian session, albeit retreats from a session high in the 119.60 region following poor US Durable Goods Orders. The 1 hour chat shows that the technical indicators turned sharply lower around their mid-lines, whilst the price is being rejected from its 100 SMA, all of which favors additional declines. In the 4 hours chart the price has held below its 100 SMA ever since Thursday's US session, whilst the technical indicators head slightly lower below their mid-lines, supporting the shorter term view. A break below the 119.00 figure however, is required to confirm additional declines, eyeing the 118.60 region as the next bearish target.

Support levels: 119.00 118.60 118.20 

Resistance levels: 119.65 120.10 120.50 

Recommended Content


Recommended Content

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD holds below 1.0750 ahead of key US data

EUR/USD holds below 1.0750 ahead of key US data

EUR/USD trades in a tight range below 1.0750 in the European session on Friday. The US Dollar struggles to gather strength ahead of key PCE Price Index data, the Fed's preferred gauge of inflation, and helps the pair hold its ground. 

EUR/USD News

USD/JPY stays firm above 156.00 after BoJ Governor Ueda's comments

USD/JPY stays firm above 156.00 after BoJ Governor Ueda's comments

USD/JPY stays firm above 156.00 after surging above this level on the Bank of Japan's decision to leave the policy settings unchanged. BoJ Governor said weak Yen was not impacting prices but added that they will watch FX developments closely.

USD/JPY News

Gold price oscillates in a range as the focus remains glued to the US PCE Price Index

Gold price oscillates in a range as the focus remains glued to the US PCE Price Index

Gold price struggles to attract any meaningful buyers amid the emergence of fresh USD buying. Bets that the Fed will keep rates higher for longer amid sticky inflation help revive the USD demand.

Gold News

Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC’s next breakout could propel it to $80,000 Premium

Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC’s next breakout could propel it to $80,000

Bitcoin’s recent price consolidation could be nearing its end as technical indicators and on-chain metrics suggest a potential upward breakout. However, this move would not be straightforward and could punish impatient investors. 

Read more

US core PCE inflation set to signal firm price pressures as markets delay Federal Reserve rate cut bets

US core PCE inflation set to signal firm price pressures as markets delay Federal Reserve rate cut bets

The core PCE Price Index, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, is seen as the more influential measure of inflation in terms of Fed positioning. The index is forecast to rise 0.3% on a monthly basis in March, matching February’s increase. 

Read more

Majors

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures