U.S. Review

The Moderate Economic Recovery is Still Underway

  • Consumer credit surged by $19.3 billion in December, the second consecutive solid monthly increase reflecting growth in credit cards, student loans and car loans.
  • Weekly first-time jobless claims fell by 15k to 358k and the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey showed the number of job openings in December rose 2.5 percent.
  • Data on international trade show the nominal U.S. trade deficit widened 3.7 percent to $48.8 billion in December from $47.1 billion in November.


Global Review

Bank of England Eases Further

  • Citing “the weak near-term growth outlook,” the Bank of England increased the size of its asset purchase program to £325 billion at this week’s policy meeting. The United Kingdom may avert a “technical” recession by posting positive GDP growth in the first quarter, but the British economy is clearly weak at present.
  • The outlook for inflation also supports the case for further policy ease. CPI inflation is well above the Bank’s 2 percent target at present, but the overall rate of inflation should recede markedly over the course of the year.