While significant market movements are an opportunity for traders in the forex market, other long-term investors dislike high market volatility because of the risk that it poses. They have a relatively straightforward goal – to generate reasonable long-term profits while minimizing risk. Because of this, diversification is a key part of their portfolio strategy. The idea behind diversification is that while particular market events and global socioeconomic trends can damage individual equities – or even entire market sectors – the same events or trends will have a positive effect on other equities, offsetting losses. For example, bonds are often a good hedge against stock market declines.

In fact, stock investors are increasingly using currencies to hedge against risks with their stock portfolios. However, the problem with doing this is they have to manage their currency and stock investments separately, making this sort of diversification difficult to handle. New currency exchange-traded funds (ETFs) eliminate this problem. With a currency ETF, an ETF management firm buys currency pairs and holds them in a fund. The firm then sells shares in the ETF to individual investors, who can then buy and sell them in just the way that they buy and sell stocks. As the currency pair arises, the corresponding share price rises in tandem, and the share price falls as the currency falls.  

To understand why investors are interested in using currencies rather than just buying other shares, it is important to know the different types of risk in the stock market. The first is what is known as idiosyncratic risk – the risk that any particular stock will fall. For instance, if a company reports poor results, the stock price will typically fall, even if its competitors are doing well. This type of risk can be managed by buying a broader basket of stocks. However, there is also systematic risk – the risk that the entire stock market will fall. You only need to look at the initial effects of the recent world economic crisis to see this type of risk in action.  

Buying a broader range of stocks doesn’t combat systemic risk. However, investing in currencies can do exactly this. For example, consider the Swiss franc. In general, history has shown that the Swiss franc rises against the US dollar when bond yields fall. Since falling bond yields generally happen when the stock market falls, holding a position in CHF/USD can hedge against the risk of a bear market. Similarly, the Canadian dollar tends to rise as oil prices rise, since Canada is a major oil producer. Because of this, investing in a CAD/USD ETF can be used to hedge against the impact of higher energy prices on the stock market.


Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD climbs toward 1.1800 on broad USD weakness

EUR/USD climbs toward 1.1800 on broad USD weakness

EUR/USD gathers bullish momentum and advances toward 1.1800 in the second half of the day on Tuesday. The US Dollar weakens and helps the pair stretch higher after the employment report showed that Nonfarm Payrolls declined by 105,000 in October before rising by 64,000 in November.

GBP/USD climbs to fresh two-month high above 1.3400

GBP/USD climbs to fresh two-month high above 1.3400

GBP/USD gains traction in the American session and trades at its highest level since mid-October above 1.3430. The British Pound benefits from upbeat PMI data, while the US Dollar struggles to find demand following the mixed employment figures and weaker-than-forecast PMI prints, allowing the pair to march north.

Japanese Yen seems poised to appreciate further; awaits BoJ decision on Friday

Japanese Yen seems poised to appreciate further; awaits BoJ decision on Friday

The Japanese Yen maintains its bid tone through the first half of the European session on Tuesday which, along with a bearish US Dollar, keeps the USD/JPY pair depressed below the 155.00 psychological mark. The growing acceptance that the Bank of Japan will raise interest rates this week turns out to be a key factor behind the safe-haven JPY's outperformance.


Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD climbs toward 1.1800 on broad USD weakness

EUR/USD climbs toward 1.1800 on broad USD weakness

EUR/USD gathers bullish momentum and advances toward 1.1800 in the second half of the day on Tuesday. The US Dollar weakens and helps the pair stretch higher after the employment report showed that Nonfarm Payrolls declined by 105,000 in October before rising by 64,000 in November.

GBP/USD climbs to fresh two-month high above 1.3400

GBP/USD climbs to fresh two-month high above 1.3400

GBP/USD gains traction in the American session and trades at its highest level since mid-October above 1.3430. The British Pound benefits from upbeat PMI data, while the US Dollar struggles to find demand following the mixed employment figures and weaker-than-forecast PMI prints, allowing the pair to march north.

Gold extends its consolidative phase around $4,300

Gold extends its consolidative phase around $4,300

Gold trades in positive above $4,300 after spending the first half of the day under bearish pressure. XAU/USD capitalizes on renewed USD weakness after the jobs report showed that the Unemployment Rate climbed to 4.6% in November and the PMI data revealed a loss of growth momentum in the private sector in December. 

US Retail Sales virtually unchanged at $732.6 billion in October

US Retail Sales virtually unchanged at $732.6 billion in October

Retail Sales in the United States were virtually unchanged at $732.6 billion in October, the US Census Bureau reported on Tuesday. This print followed the 0.1% increase (revised from 0.3%) recorded in September and came in below the market expectation of +0.1%.

Ukraine-Russia in the spotlight once again

Ukraine-Russia in the spotlight once again

Since the start of the week, gold’s price has moved lower, but has yet to erase the gains made last week. In today’s report we intend to focus on the newest round of peace talks between Russia and Ukraine, whilst noting the release of the US Employment data later on day and end our report with an update in regards to the tensions brewing in Venezuela.

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