Dukascopy Bank Team
Dukascopy Bank SA
EUR/SEK 1H Chart: Channel Up
Comment: Even though the trend-lines drawn may not be equally important, there is a good chance the currency pair is forming a bullish channel. EUR/SEK is expected to rebound from the 9.37 and rise up to the upper edge of the pattern. However, we should note that there is a plethora of resistances overhead. The levels that pose the most threat are some of the recent highs, such as the Jul 3 maximum at 9.4036, followed by the Jun peak at 9.4264 and the May high at 9.44. In case demand at 9.37 fails to trigger a recovery, the Jul 7 low together with the 200-hour SMA will become the new target. Meanwhile, the SWFX sentiment is strongly bearish: 74% of open positions are currently short.
EUR/NZD 1H Chart: Channel Down
Comment: EUR/NZD appears to be forming a bearish channel, and if the currency pair finally closes beneath the long-term SMA, the bearish outlook will be confirmed. From below the potential losses are limited by the support trend-line, which is reinforced by the weekly pivot point. Another dense demand zone is supposed to be circa 1.6350 (Jul 1 low). In the meantime, the gains are to be limited by the upper trend-line at 1.6581, where it coincides with the daily R1. As for the attitude of the SWFX market participants, the traders are rather pessimistic with respect to the European currency. At the moment as many as 71% of all open positions are short.
This overview can be used only for informational purposes. Dukascopy SA is not responsible for any losses arising from any investment based on any recommendation, forecast or other information herein contained.
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